Editor’s Pick
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Why it pays to invest when markets are heading south
Roger Montgomery
June 24, 2022
Warren Buffett once observed that “In stocks, it’s the only place where, when things go on sale, people get unhappy.” Which is ironic, because bear markets give long-term investors a wonderful opportunity to make market-beating returns. And the lower the market falls, the more excited we should be about buying shares in quality businesses at knock-down prices. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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Hang onto your hat, as the free money epoch comes to an end
Roger Montgomery
June 23, 2022
The last couple of years have been one helluva ride, haven’t they? Thanks to a heady cocktail of record low interest rates and massive government stimulus, we’ve seen ballooning valuations for companies with no profit – and little or no prospect of making any. But the free money epoch is now ending, and the dire consequences have only just begun for these companies and their shareholders. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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Would you like P/Es with that?
Roger Montgomery
June 17, 2022
Recently I penned a post proposing the importance of investing in quality companies with solid growth prospects. The suggestion is based simply on rather basic arithmetic; buy and sell shares on the same (now compressed Price to Earnings Ratio) and the investors Internal Rate of Return (IRR) will equal the Earnings Per Share (EPS) growth rate the company achieves. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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A Tale of two market machines
Polen Capital
June 15, 2022
While several factors can affect stock prices, Polen Capital believe long-term returns are ultimately driven by sustainable earnings growth. continue…
by Polen Capital Posted in Editor's Pick, Polen Capital.
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A forecast slowdown is not a recession
Roger Montgomery
June 6, 2022
Most economists are forecasting a domestic and global economic slowdown. According to the UCLA Anderson Forecast, economic obstacles, including the Russia–Ukraine war, China’s COVID lockdowns, supply chain bottlenecks and labor shortages, and the consequent inflationary pressures on both finished goods and raw materials are well known, and in some cases becoming entrenched. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
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Price and Value are two different things – just ask Canva investors
Roger Montgomery
June 3, 2022
With the share prices of tech stocks having cratered in recent months, there are perhaps few more opportune times than now to revisit the important difference between Price and Value. It may surprise investors that every business has a real worth or a true value that may bear no resemblance to the currently traded price. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Investing Education.
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From Private Equity to Zombie – The ABC of capitalism
Roger Montgomery
June 2, 2022
We have long been critics of the profitless prosperity doctrine that pervaded financial markets while money was free. The doctrine permitted companies with no profit, and no prospect of making any, to invest private equity and family office money in the pursuit of gaining market share. Often this was achieved by crushing old-world incumbents into submission, if not oblivion. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick.
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With markets falling, is it safe to invest again?
Roger Montgomery
May 25, 2022
In the famed 1970s thriller, Marathon Man, Nazi dentist Dr Christian Szell – who is looking for a stash of stolen diamonds – repeatedly asks the character played by Dustin Hoffman “Is it safe?” Right now, many people are likely asking the same question about investing in the share market. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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If Buffett is buying, should I?
Roger Montgomery
May 24, 2022
Equity markets have borne the brunt of investor panic. Rising interest rates, the biggest bond market rout since the 80s, persistent inflation from labour shortages and consequent supply chain constipation, as well as an entrenched military conflict in Ukraine, lockdowns in China, and finally an admission from the U.S. Federal Reserve they took too long to commencing reversing hyper-accommodative monetary policy is all but a pile-on for investors desperately seeking returns above the punitive rates offered by cash. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets.
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Where to invest if the economy heads for a hard landing
Roger Montgomery
May 20, 2022
Right now, there’s no shortage of pessimistic forecasts for the U.S. economy. You need only look at recent reports from the likes of Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan. These bleak forecasts have many U.S. investors talking up the probability of a bear market in equities. In this environment, careful stock selection will be more important than ever. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
