Economics
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The Liquidity Surprise!
Roger Montgomery
August 11, 2015
Freelancer shares (not owned by Montgomery) entered a trading halt last week, pending an announcement. While we were aware of the reason for the halt, not all market participants were, so we were unable to discuss this issue with you at the time. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights.
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Red Alert
Roger Montgomery
July 16, 2015
We warned you about the Chinese stock market before it’s correction and we have been warning you, for many years, about the price of iron ore falling back to $40/tonne. There have also been many other alerts and insights here on the blog. Today’s is a less tangible, but it is no less important. Indeed, its impact on your portfolio could be much more significant and longer-lasting. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights.
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The Greek Tragedy continues
David Buckland
July 14, 2015
Our friends at CITI hosted a conference call on Monday with Citi Chief Economist Willem Buiter joined by George Papandreou, the former Greek Prime Minister; Filippos Sachinidis, the former Greek Finance Minister; Jose Barroso, the former President of the European Commission and the former Prime Minister of Portugal. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Foreign Currency.
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Inefficient Allocation of Capital
Ben MacNevin
July 9, 2015
By now you should have heard about the rout that is occurring in China’s stock market. One critical factor which you may not be aware of is the exposure of Chinese companies to the market. And we’re not talking about a listed company’s share price decline here. continue…
by Ben MacNevin Posted in Economics, Foreign Currency, Insightful Insights.
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Farewell Fiscal 2015, Hello Fiscal 2016
David Buckland
July 1, 2015
As Fiscal 2015 draws to a close and Greece defaults on its debt repayments, let’s take a look at the year that was. The Australian market, excluding reinvestment of dividends, has continued to trade sideways, up 1.3 per cent from 5,382 to 5,451. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Global markets.
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A subdued reality?
Ben MacNevin
June 3, 2015
In its June decision to leave cash rates unchanged at an historical low of 2 per cent, the Reserve Bank of Australia’s cautious post-announcement comments appear at odds with a government intent on record investment in infrastructure. continue…
by Ben MacNevin Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights.
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Wake up Australia!
Roger Montgomery
June 1, 2015
We know economists have an unenviable task and can make sheep look like independent thinkers, but their ‘miss’ at the weekend in Canada stands out more for the warning it represents for Australia. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Foreign Currency, Insightful Insights.
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Drip-fed economies die
Roger Montgomery
May 28, 2015
There’s a tendency in the media and amongst Australians to get bored with a story. The world works in mysterious ways and governments respond when the media stirs up popular support for a cause. It’s our duty then to ensure the important stories remain front of mind. This story was first published in November however it is just as relevant now… C’mon Joe Australia needs you!
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights.
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What’s the forecast?
Tim Kelley
May 27, 2015
When asked for an opinion about where equity markets might be headed, it is common practice for expert commentators to start with some insightful comments on the economy. This is a natural place to start, as the economy is big and important, and some insightful comments can quickly establish that the commentator is as similarly big and important. continue…
by Tim Kelley Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights.
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The times, they are a changin’…
Roger Montgomery
May 6, 2015
If a picture tells a thousand words then the picture being painted by these graphs is a gloomy one for those fully invested or those levered into recent asset purchases. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights.
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