Economics
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It’s the End of The World (as we know it)
Roger Montgomery
May 19, 2016
When Michael Stipe of REM wrote The End of the World as We Know It and penned the lyrics, “A tournament, a tournament, a tournament of lies, offer me solutions, offer me alternatives, and I decline.” He wasn’t thinking of the 2016 US Presidential Elections nor the resistance of consumers to lower and lower interest rates but he may as well have been. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights.
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The limitations of monetary policy and negative interest rates
David Buckland
April 6, 2016
Following my blog entitled “The Next Economic Disaster” I thought it worthwhile exploring why Central Banks aren’t succeeding in their sworn fight against deflation. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights.
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Statement by Glenn Stevens, Governor: Monetary Policy Decision
Roger Montgomery
April 5, 2016
At its meeting today, the Board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 2.0 per cent. Recent information suggests that the global economy is continuing to grow, though at a slightly lower pace than earlier expected. While several advanced economies have recorded improved growth over the past year, conditions have become more difficult for a number of emerging market economies. China’s growth rate has continued to moderate. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics.
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Stuck
Ben MacNevin
September 28, 2015
While the world tries to guess when the Federal Reserve will increase interest rates, we thought one of the more eloquent illustrations of the conundrum facing central banks is a recent speech by Andrew Haldane, the Chief Economist of the Bank of England. The speech is aptly entitled, Stuck. continue…
by Ben MacNevin Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights.
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No competitive advantage – now what?
Scott Shuttleworth
September 18, 2015
For a firm to grow in value, it must earn returns in excess of its cost of capital. Typically we expect that firms will achieve this by developing a competitive advantage difficult to replicate by competitors and exploiting said advantage for all it’s worth. But what if the firm has no competitive advantage? continue…
by Scott Shuttleworth Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights.
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Australia’s economic future
Roger Montgomery
September 16, 2015
In this interview with Ross Greenwood on 2GB Money News, Roger talks with Ross about the leadership changes, what conditions we need for economic growth for Australia and shares his views on supporting small business.
Click here to listen to the radio clip.
You can listen to any of Roger’s radio interviews through browsing our media library, listen to more clips here.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights, Market commentary.
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The Liquidity Surprise!
Roger Montgomery
August 11, 2015
Freelancer shares (not owned by Montgomery) entered a trading halt last week, pending an announcement. While we were aware of the reason for the halt, not all market participants were, so we were unable to discuss this issue with you at the time. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights.
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Red Alert
Roger Montgomery
July 16, 2015
We warned you about the Chinese stock market before it’s correction and we have been warning you, for many years, about the price of iron ore falling back to $40/tonne. There have also been many other alerts and insights here on the blog. Today’s is a less tangible, but it is no less important. Indeed, its impact on your portfolio could be much more significant and longer-lasting. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights.
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The Greek Tragedy continues
David Buckland
July 14, 2015
Our friends at CITI hosted a conference call on Monday with Citi Chief Economist Willem Buiter joined by George Papandreou, the former Greek Prime Minister; Filippos Sachinidis, the former Greek Finance Minister; Jose Barroso, the former President of the European Commission and the former Prime Minister of Portugal. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Foreign Currency.
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Inefficient Allocation of Capital
Ben MacNevin
July 9, 2015
By now you should have heard about the rout that is occurring in China’s stock market. One critical factor which you may not be aware of is the exposure of Chinese companies to the market. And we’re not talking about a listed company’s share price decline here. continue…
by Ben MacNevin Posted in Economics, Foreign Currency, Insightful Insights.