Economics
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If the VIX is low, is it time to go?
Scott Shuttleworth
January 23, 2018
The Volatility Index – better known as ‘the VIX’ – is the most widely followed measure of stock market risk. Since March 2012, the VIX has remained stubbornly low, and some see this as a sign of a frothy market that’s about to sell off. I don’t necessarily agree, but what’s the best investment strategy just in case they’re right? continue…
by Scott Shuttleworth Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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Farewell Fiscal 2017, Hello Fiscal 2018
David Buckland
July 3, 2017
As fiscal 2017 draws to a close, let’s take a look at the year that was. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Global markets, Market commentary.
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Is the extraordinary bond market rally about to end?
David Buckland
January 25, 2017
The 36-year bond bull market is stretched and set for a serious nose dive, says Harvard University researcher, Paul Schmelzing. Schmelzing says global inflation could trigger large losses on bond holdings, subpar growth in developed markets, and balance sheet risks for banks. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Market commentary.
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- POSTED IN Economics, Market commentary
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Don’t bet on rates staying lower for longer
Roger Montgomery
August 10, 2016
Australians are getting used to super-low interest rates, and eye-watering loan amounts, particularly for property purchases. Along the way, the household debt burden as a percentage of disposable income has ballooned out from 170% to 185% since 2008. This is nosebleed territory. Is it time to be concerned? We think so. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Property.
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- POSTED IN Economics, Editor's Pick, Property
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I feel the need, the need for yield
Roger Montgomery
August 8, 2016
It’s not news to anyone reading the Insights Blog here that bond rates are at record-lows. And it should be no secret that US stocks are summiting record highs. But it shouldn’t be happening and it isn’t logical. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Market commentary.
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- POSTED IN Economics, Market commentary
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Under pressure
Stuart Jackson
August 3, 2016
After the RBA’s latest cut to official rates, many investors will be tempted to take some of their money out of cash in pursuit of the high dividend yields offered by our banks. But are these yields sustainable as the banks feel the squeeze from margin pressure and increased liquidity requirements? continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Economics, Financial Services.
- 2 Comments
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- POSTED IN Economics, Financial Services
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Part 2: Are Negative Interest Rates Having Unintended Consequences?
David Buckland
July 28, 2016
The record low interest rate environment is seeing investors buying speculative grade corporate debt and extending maturities to generate positive yields. The rewards are becoming increasingly unsustainable given the level of risks. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Market commentary.
- 4 Comments
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- POSTED IN Economics, Market commentary
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It’s the End of The World (as we know it)
Roger Montgomery
May 19, 2016
When Michael Stipe of REM wrote The End of the World as We Know It and penned the lyrics, “A tournament, a tournament, a tournament of lies, offer me solutions, offer me alternatives, and I decline.” He wasn’t thinking of the 2016 US Presidential Elections nor the resistance of consumers to lower and lower interest rates but he may as well have been. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights.
- 17 Comments
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- POSTED IN Economics, Insightful Insights
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The limitations of monetary policy and negative interest rates
David Buckland
April 6, 2016
Following my blog entitled “The Next Economic Disaster” I thought it worthwhile exploring why Central Banks aren’t succeeding in their sworn fight against deflation. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights.
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- POSTED IN Economics, Insightful Insights
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Statement by Glenn Stevens, Governor: Monetary Policy Decision
Roger Montgomery
April 5, 2016
At its meeting today, the Board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 2.0 per cent. Recent information suggests that the global economy is continuing to grow, though at a slightly lower pace than earlier expected. While several advanced economies have recorded improved growth over the past year, conditions have become more difficult for a number of emerging market economies. China’s growth rate has continued to moderate. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics.
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- POSTED IN Economics
