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Small cap team adeptly navigating early reporting season
Roger Montgomery
February 13, 2024
Generally speaking, and while it is early days, this earnings season has been a good one both broadly and for the Montgomery Small Companies Fund, overseen by portfolio managers, Gary Rollo and Dominic Rose. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Market commentary.
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Decelerating inflationary expectations plus a limited increase in unemployment
David Buckland
February 12, 2024
The good news on the recent deceleration in inflationary expectations is many major central banks have likely finished tightening their official cash rates. The five English-speaking central banks tabled below have, on average, tightened on 12 separate occasions to 5.07 per cent. Australia is the outlier, at 4.35 per cent. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Global markets.
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ABC The Business: What will reporting season tell us about the economy?
Roger Montgomery
February 9, 2024
This week, I joined ABC’s The Business to discuss the anticipated challenges and strategies for Corporate Australia during the upcoming reporting season. Focusing on the banking sector, I particularly highlight Commonwealth Bank, underscoring the escalated competition’s effect on net interest margins, especially in the context of an uptick in distressed sales. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in On the Internet, TV Appearances.
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Will the pain of Australia’s cost of living pressures be coming to an end soon?
David Buckland
February 9, 2024
In this week’s video insight, I discuss how Treasurer Jim Chalmers highlights that Australian wages are growing faster than the Consumer Price Index (CPI); a claim that overlooks the CPI’s failure to account for mortgage interest payments, thus not fully capturing the cost of living. With household debt and mortgage interest on the rise, I explore the expectation of an easing in the decline of real wages relative to living costs, amidst speculation of potential interest rate reductions. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Video Insights.
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Megaport surges on stellar quarterly results and optimistic forecasts
Roger Montgomery
February 8, 2024
With surging quarterly results and a bright outlook, Megaport’s (ASX:MP1) recent performance ignites optimism, marking an impressive rebound and spotlighting the company’s strategic growth amidst the tech industry’s evolving landscape. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.
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Deflationary pressures in China – be careful what you wish for
David Buckland
February 7, 2024
Until recently, China’s decelerating inflation was welcomed by the West, as it led to lower imported prices and helped reduce inflationary pressures. However, China’s consumer prices fell for the third consecutive month in December 2023, delaying the expected rebound in economic activity following the lifting of COVID-19 controls. For calendar year 2023, CPI growth was negligible, whilst the producer price index declined by 3.0 per cent. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Global markets.
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How to maximise your returns in 2024 and beyond
Roger Montgomery
February 6, 2024
I recently wrote about my two big forecasts for 2024. One was that private credit would gain traction as an important asset class and would also feature more prominently in advised portfolios, especially for those seeking uncorrelated returns, lower volatility, and regular attractive income. I also stuck my neck on the block and suggested that if disinflation and positive economic growth dominate the economic backdrop, investors will adopt more risk and buy select small-cap stocks, closing the gap that emerged in 2023 between them and the mega-cap technology companies. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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Boss Energy’s share price rises amidst surging uranium price
David Buckland
February 5, 2024
The price of uranium has jumped from U.S.$20/lb. in January 2018 to U.S.$40/lb in January 2022 to U.S.$90/lb in January 2024. Boss Energy (ASX: BOE), with its strategic market position and two significant projects, is poised to capitalise on this upward trajectory. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Stocks We Like.
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