End of an epoch - Warren Buffet retires. What do investors need to know? READ HERE to learn more.
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The ripple effect of cheap Chinese goods: unveiling the global plastic waste crisis
Roger Montgomery
December 9, 2024
A wave of inexpensive Chinese products flooding the developing world is reportedly stirring tensions towards China and countries beyond Europe and the U.S. As Beijing seeks to forge alliances amid escalating trade disputes with the U.S., it asks developing nations to absorb its excess manufacturing output. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets.
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Bored apes and bananas part. 2
Roger Montgomery
December 6, 2024
If you haven’t yet, read Bored apes and bananas – Part 1
Since the beginning of the year, some commentators have voiced concerns that equity valuations have become historically stretched. Thanks to the rally in technology stocks, Wall Street’s major indices have displayed historically high valuation metrics such as the cyclically adjusted price-earnings (CAPE) shiller ratio. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Market commentary.
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WHITEPAPERS
Higher returns and lower risk? Yes, it’s possible with private credit
Roger Montgomery
December 5, 2024
In today’s dynamic financial landscape, private credit has emerged as a compelling alternative for investors seeking attractive yields with minimal volatility. But as the asset class grows, understanding the details and risk is crucial. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Whitepapers.
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Bored apes and bananas part. 1
Roger Montgomery
December 4, 2024
John Templeton famously observed; bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on scepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria.
With several commentators now labelling markets euphoric, the call for a correction is becoming louder. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Market commentary.
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MEDIA
Ausbiz – Risks, opportunities, and the outlook for equities in 2025
Roger Montgomery
November 29, 2024
Yesterday, I joined Ausbiz to share my thoughts on the outlook for Australian equities heading into 2025. We discussed how the current environment of economic growth and disinflation supports markets, but also the risks posed by rising valuations and global debt levels, which now sit at $312 trillion. With significant refinancing due in the next couple of years, tight liquidity could create challenges. I also talked about the opportunities in high-quality small-cap stocks, both locally and globally, and why innovative companies with pricing power remain a bright spot in the market.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Small Caps, TV Appearances.
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MEDIA
November ABC Nightlife – Finance
Roger Montgomery
November 28, 2024
Earlier this week, I joined Phil Clark on ABC Nightlife to discuss the latest in finance. We explored the rise of Bitcoin and crypto ETFs, including their increased accessibility and the potential implications of President-elect Donald Trump’s vision for the U.S. as a leading repository for Bitcoin. I also highlighted the drawbacks of relying on charting and technical analysis compared to dollar cost averaging. We also addressed the challenges of navigating financial advice in the era of “finfluencers,” and where to find reputable information. Lastly, I shared insights into Warren Buffett’s recent decisions and what these moves reveal about Berkshire Hathaway’s strategy, while answering some of your questions along the way.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.
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Victoria confronts its failed experiment
Roger Montgomery
November 27, 2024
Socialism is a political and economic theory of social organisation that advocates for the means of production, distribution, and exchange to be owned or regulated by the community. Socialists believe the government is the community apparatus that should control all aspects of the economy. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics.
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New ratios are a sign of something…
Roger Montgomery
November 26, 2024
As the market rises, a couple of things often occur. First, a conga line of naysayers and cassandras emerge. The earliest doom-and-gloomers point to rational reasons why the market should not be rising and why it should be going down as they earlier but incorrectly predicted. The second bunch point to how much the market has already risen and then lean on a bunch of ratios to show that the market has fallen the last time (insert ratio here) was this high. As the market continues to climb, the next bunch of people point to a ‘bubble’ and warn of an impending crash. Eventually, equities markets correct – you can count on it – but the timing is far less reliable and predictable.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.
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