Bond markets signal caution – time to pay attention READ HERE to learn more.
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Share markets anticipate economic slowdown with enormous P/E compression
David Buckland
July 7, 2022
With the 20.6 per cent decline in the US S&P 500 over the six months to June 2022, the largest June-half year decline since 1970, it is interesting to note this was a period of solid earnings growth being hit by enormous P/E compression. This counterbalance of rising earnings combined with a P/E de-rating often occurs at index peaks, where markets anticipate slowdowns – often by around six months. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.
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What to make of the May retail sales figures
Stuart Jackson
July 6, 2022
The Australian Bureau of Statistics has just released retail sales figures for the month of May. Contrary to market expectations, sales remained strong. But is this as good as it gets before rising living expenses eat into discretionary spending? Or will the build-up in pandemic-related household savings, and our strong labour market, continue to drive growth in consumer spending? Continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Consumer discretionary.
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Polen Capital Global Small and Mid Cap Fund 30 June 2022 Update
Roger Montgomery
July 5, 2022
Our timing of the launch of the Polen Capital Global Small and Mid Cap Fund has unfortunately coincided with a broad global sell-off that has been tough to navigate for investors who focus on quality and growth. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Polen Capital, Video Insights.
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How much would higher immigration rates help equity markets?
Roger Montgomery
July 5, 2022
In this week’s video insight Roger discusses how the fate of equity markets now hinges materially, but not solely, on the employment picture and the how central banks navigate the very serious choice they have to make between inflation or recession. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary, Video Insights.
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Aura High Yield SME Fund: Letter to Investors 01 July 2022
Brett Craig
July 4, 2022
The RBAs July monetary policy decision will be made on Tuesday, with markets pricing in a 50 basis point rise, according the ASX RBA Rate Tracker. The RBA Rate Indicator run by the ASX aims to demonstrate market expectations of the change in the cash rate. Continue…
by Brett Craig Posted in Aura Group.
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Farewell fiscal 2022, hello fiscal 2023
David Buckland
July 4, 2022
Many commentators point to the six months to June 2022 as being one of the worst June half-year periods for the performance of both the share market and the bond market for several decades. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary.
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Relief rally or sustained bounce?
Roger Montgomery
July 1, 2022
In this video insight Roger discusses current market conditions with equities having rallied off the lows recently thanks to a lower oil price and a retreat in bond yields amid fears of a recession. Have we reached the bottom yet? Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.
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How KFC is making CKF a bear market winner
Roger Montgomery
June 30, 2022
Fast food businesses usually do well when times are tough, as many people – and families in particular – opt for less expensive places to eat out. It’s therefore no surprise that Collins Foods (ASX:CKF) – which operates KFC and Taco Bell in Australia and KFC in Europe – has outperformed the market. For the month ending 27 June, the Small Ordinaries Index fell eight per cent while CKF declined half that amount. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick.
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