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What to expect from the stock market?
Roger Montgomery
June 23, 2022
In this week’s video insight Roger discusses what could be next for the stock market. We already know that P/E ratios have compressed considerably, and taken into account all of the increase in bond rates. What they haven’t done, of course, is priced a very significant recession, nor have they priced the possibility of a financial crisis of any description. But what happens if rates stop rising, and if economies don’t go into a recession, and we don’t get a financial crisis? Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Video Insights.
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A deep dive on the Aura High Yield SME Fund – Part 2: How does investing work?
Dean Curnow
June 22, 2022
Last week we looked under the hood on how the Aura High Yield SME Fund provides financing to the Australian SME market through fintech enabled lending platforms. In this article we discuss the mechanics of investing as a wholesale investor and answer some of the operational questions we receive from interested investors. Continue…
by Dean Curnow Posted in Aura Group.
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The size of the hangover usually corresponds with the size of the party!
David Buckland
June 22, 2022
Is this upcoming economic slowdown going to be a minor flesh-wound or a significant recession? At Montgomery Investment Management, we are receiving a lot of inquiry about adding to investments (minor flesh wound) versus a significant recession (the bear market has a long way to run). Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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How to use Warren’s wise words to see you through this downturn
Roger Montgomery
June 21, 2022
Over the years, legendary investor Warren Buffett has become the Shakespeare of the investment world, whose words of advice are quoted far and wide. In a recent article in The Australian, Nadine McGrath listed some popular Buffett quotes she thought might help nervy investors navigate these volatile times. Here are some of my favourites from the list. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Investing Education.
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Q&A: The global opportunity with smaller, burgeoning companies
Polen Capital
June 20, 2022
The global small and mid-cap (SMID) space is a vast and inefficient universe of opportunity where disciplined research can be an edge. We aim to deliver a differentiated portfolio that avoids the common pitfalls of smaller cap investing by applying a high-quality approach to this compelling asset class. Here are five key questions on Polen Capital’s Small and Mid Cap strategy, answered by Rob Forker, Portfolio Manager and Analyst. Continue…
by Polen Capital Posted in Polen Capital.
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Aura High Yield SME Fund: Letter to Investors 17 June 2022
Brett Craig
June 20, 2022
This week the NAB released the May monthly business survey, reporting an easing in confidence but a strong outlook for conditions. Continue…
by Brett Craig Posted in Aura Group.
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Would you like P/Es with that?
Roger Montgomery
June 17, 2022
Recently I penned a post proposing the importance of investing in quality companies with solid growth prospects. The suggestion is based simply on rather basic arithmetic; buy and sell shares on the same (now compressed Price to Earnings Ratio) and the investors Internal Rate of Return (IRR) will equal the Earnings Per Share (EPS) growth rate the company achieves. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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Phil Lowe – playing catch up football with his Central Bank counterparts
David Buckland
June 16, 2022
Overnight, the US Federal Reserve tightened their official cash rates by 0.75 per cent, the largest increase since 1994, taking their cash up from 0.75 per cent to 1.5 per cent. Chairman Jerome Powell indicated a minimum increase of 0.5 per cent at the July meeting, meaning a US cash rate of at least 2.0 per cent. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary.
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