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I was late to the party, but “I’ve got to contain inflation”
David Buckland
February 22, 2023
“I’ve got to contain inflation. I’ve got to convince the community that we’re serious about that. That’s our job and its unpopular and I accept that”. Philip Lowe, Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary.
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If you are an income investor, it pays to think long-term
Roger Montgomery
February 22, 2023
The past year has seen a distinct switch in investor focus from growth to yield. The irony, of course, is that many so-called ‘dividend stocks’ can be long-term wealth killers. And that’s why we prefer quality businesses – like CSL – which can grow both their market value, and their dividends, over time. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Investing Education.
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Adairs sheets home the blame for its poor HY23 result
Roger Montgomery
February 21, 2023
If you needed more convincing that Australia’s retailers are doing it tough, take a look at the HY23 result from manchester and homewares retailer Adairs (ASX:ADH). ‘Weak’, ‘disappointing’, ‘a miss’. That’s how various commentators described the result. But with the share price already in the doldrums, and the company paying an attractive dividend, the market seemed none too concerned. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary.
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The silver lining in higher rates
Roger Montgomery
February 21, 2023
Financial media is replete with stories observing the fastest increase in interest rates in recent memory, the end of the declining interest rate era, how the fastest rise in short-term rates is inverting the yield curve (2-year bond yields higher than 10-year bonds) and predicting a recession, rising rates are causing the property market to collapse, and how causal inflation is responsible for it all and the financial destruction of many peoples’ lives. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group.
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Why I don’t think this is a dead cat bounce
Roger Montgomery
February 20, 2023
With equity markets steaming ahead, there’s no shortage of people calling this a ‘dead cat bounce’ and, by implication, predicting another market correction. History, however, suggests that 2022 was simply an isolated poor year for markets, and that we have now returned to ‘normal programming’. If I’m right, then 2023 could be a good year for investors. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Ausbiz: How to separate yourself from the market’s distracting noise?
Roger Montgomery
February 17, 2023
With an inflation rate of 6.4 per cent, the U.S. economy is still experiencing inflation, making Gold, Real Estate, Commodities and high fixed cost, cyclical producers investments worthy of consideration. But that inflation rate is coming down. It’s not uncommon for markets to fall amid fear an ‘event’ might occur and then rally when the event does occur. In my conversation with ausbiz we cover how the U.S. economy is growing, which means we are on the right-hand, ‘boom’, side of the matrix.
Watch: How to separate yourself from the market’s distracting noise?by Roger Montgomery Posted in On the Internet.
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What is next for small caps?
Polen Capital
February 17, 2023
The past year posed considerable challenges for equity investors, including runaway inflation, a rising interest rate environment, geopolitical tensions, and the lingering effects of the pandemic. The confluence of these headwinds – and a lack of positive catalysts – roiled market sentiment, resulting in most equity analysts adjusting their expectations for corporate earnings growth substantially lower. Continue…
by Polen Capital Posted in Editor's Pick, Polen Capital.
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Distracted by sentiment? You’ve missed 16 per cent!
Roger Montgomery
February 17, 2023
Over the last six months, we have provided a growing list of arguments favouring investment in equities. We have shown the compression of P/E ratios of 2022 rendered high-quality companies cheap, and we’ve revealed arithmetic demonstrating investors will receive a return commensurate with the earnings growth rate of the company they buy even if stocks don’t become popular again. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets.
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