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Ausbiz – Should you be greedy when others are fearful?
Roger Montgomery
March 6, 2025
This morning, I joined Ausbiz to break down the “Trump slump” and its impact on equity markets, with major indices and big technology stocks facing pressure. We explored how central bank liquidity, bond market fluctuations, and artificial intelligence (AI) revenue concerns are shaping investor sentiment. With bearish sentiment on the rise, the question now is whether this environment presents a real opportunity for active investors and selective stock picking.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.
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ABC NEWCASTLE MORNINGS – FEBRUARY 2024
Roger Montgomery
March 5, 2025
I joined Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle radio to discuss the recently announced tariffs and their impact on global markets. The market reacted swiftly, with both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq declining as investors weighed the potential consequences. Many economists believe these tariffs could have negative long-term effects, despite being designed to encourage onshore manufacturing, particularly in the technology sector. However, such policies also carry risks, including escalating trade wars between countries and disruptions to imports and exports, which could have broader economic implications. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.
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Australian Eagle Asset Management in the Australian Financial Review
Sean Sequeira
February 27, 2025
In this article for the Australian Financial Review, I shared some of my investment milestones throughout my 30-year career. I discussed the Australian Eagle Asset Management team’s strategy of identifying pivotal changes in businesses, highlighting successful investments in Fortescue (ASX:FMG) and Altium (ASX:ALU), as well as lessons learned from early exits like TechnologyOne (ASX:TNE). I also shared some insights into Australian Eagle’s investment philosophy, some stocks we believe have potential, including Dexus (ASX:DXS) and Silex Systems (ASX:SLX). continue…
by Sean Sequeira Posted in In the Press.
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Shares for beginners – liquidity lubrication
Roger Montgomery
February 26, 2025
I joined Philip Muscatello on the Shares for Beginners podcast to discuss the outlook for 2025, shifting market conditions, and where investors should focus in the year ahead. We explored the impact of disinflation, robust economic growth, and liquidity shifts on global markets, as well as the role of artificial intelligence (AI) and innovative companies. I also shared insights on individual stock picks, highlighting companies such as Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX:CBA), REA Group (ASX:REA), Nick Scali (ASX:NCK), ARB Corporation (ASX:ARB) and more, which are strengthening their competitive advantages and positioning for long-term growth. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Podcast Channel.
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February – ABC Statewide Drive
Roger Montgomery
February 26, 2025
Last week, I joined Jess McGuire on ABC Statewide Drive to discuss the current reporting season. Share prices are reacting more sharply to earnings surprises, with around four companies beating estimates for every one that misses. Dividend per share results are also exceeding forecasts at a two-to-one rate, driving company outlook upgrades. Listed companies are gaining market share, with strong performers like the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX:CBA), JB Hi-Fi (ASX:JBH), and REA Group (ASX:REA) standing out. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.
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ABC PM – Bank customers urged to shop around following rate cut
Roger Montgomery
February 21, 2025
This week, I joined David Taylor on ABC PM to discuss the Reserve Bank of Australia’s latest rate cut and why bank customers should take action. Many of us are effectively lending money to banks for free, and inertia prevents us from seeking better returns. With no guarantee of further cuts, now is the time to shop around and make our cash work harder. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Radio.
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Ausbiz – should we be less certain on a bullish 2025 now?
Roger Montgomery
February 20, 2025
I joined Ausbiz to discuss the market’s strong reactions to earnings surprises this reporting season, the competitive advantages driving companies like the Commonwealth Bank of Australia ahead of rivals, and Nick Scali’s growth through strategic acquisitions. I also shared my broader market outlook, highlighting the importance of disinflation, economic growth, and liquidity for a bull market, while questioning the sustainability of liquidity in future gains. Listen to the full interview here: Ausbiz – should we be less certain on a bullish 2025 for now?
by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press, TV Appearances.
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ABC Newcastle Mornings – February 2024
Roger Montgomery
February 19, 2025
I joined Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle radio yesterday to discuss the potential impact of rate cuts, the key drivers of the U.S. market’s strong performance, and what investors should focus on moving forward. We also touched on how markets are reacting to the deferral of tariffs, adding uncertainty to the outlook. Given these factors, I emphasised the importance of focusing on businesses with steady earnings growth rather than trying to predict macroeconomic trends, as long-term returns will ultimately reflect the strength of the underlying companies. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.
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How DeepSeek has exposed the short lifespan of monopolies
Roger Montgomery
February 12, 2025
What are the best businesses? The answer to that question is “monopolies” and investors need to ask whether the current crop of artificial intelligence (AI)-driven large language models (LLM’s) and the suppliers of their chips, storage and energy need have the monopoly characteristics they assumed.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.
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Ausbiz – 2025 wildcards beyond the White House
Roger Montgomery
February 7, 2025
Yesterday, I joined Ausbiz to discuss market trends, noting that while disinflation and economic growth provide support, tightening liquidity could impact small caps this year. I highlighted real estate as an opportunity, where temporary setbacks, like the REA Group (ASX:REA) CEO’s resignation, may offer buying chances. Looking ahead, U.S. and China tensions and debt refinancing remain key risks, with history suggesting a potential market decline despite the bullish backdrop. You can watch my full interview here: Ausbiz – 2025 wildcards beyond the White House continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.
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