Market Valuation
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Warning – don’t panic.
Tim Kelley
December 10, 2014
There have been volatile times recently on the ASX. With prices for oil, iron ore and coal falling sharply, the mood in the resources sector has turned decidedly sour. Further, the negative mood seems to have been adopted more broadly by the market, with a wide range of stocks showing meaningful price declines. continue…
by Tim Kelley Posted in Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market Valuation, Value.able.
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Are stocks about to crash?
Roger Montgomery
November 21, 2014
About a year ago GMO’s Jeremy Grantham was very bullish. The S&P500 was around 1,800 points and Grantham made a prediction that in the year or two the market would rally 20 per cent to 30 per cent.
With the S&P now at 2052 and up 14 per cent since his previous bullish call, we thought it would be prudent to read his letter entitled Bubble Watch Update included in the latest quarterly report to GMO investors. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Market Valuation.
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Darth Veda
Russell Muldoon
November 7, 2014
Veda Group Limited (VED) is one of the more successful IPO’s we have participated in recently. Listing in early December 2013 at $1.25 the stock went on to subsequently double in price hitting a high of $2.55 just a few months later.
Adding to this success was the exceptional 2014 full year results that came in ahead of the prospectus guidance, producing one of the best reports over the August reporting season. continue…
by Russell Muldoon Posted in Companies, Insightful Insights, Market Valuation.
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Are you sitting comfortably?
Tim Kelley
August 6, 2014
With the equity markets showing some signs of volatility recently, and several commentators starting to flag the possibility of a pullback, we thought it may be timely to revisit our stance on valuation and portfolio composition. continue…
by Tim Kelley Posted in Insightful Insights, Market Valuation.
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- POSTED IN Insightful Insights, Market Valuation
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The screen
Russell Muldoon
August 4, 2014
On Friday morning, the local share market reacted negatively to overseas developments. I took this as an opportunity to screen the market in search of industry groups that offer attractive relative valuations, in order to focus on a few ideas for our research team to investigate. continue…
by Russell Muldoon Posted in Companies, Insightful Insights, Market Valuation.
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Market PE ratios
Russell Muldoon
July 24, 2014
The one-year forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the S&P/ASX 200 index has varied significantly over the past few years. In 2011 it fell to 12 times, and recently market participants have been sufficiently enamoured to push the ratio as high as 16-17 times.
by Russell Muldoon Posted in Insightful Insights, Market Valuation, Value.able.
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Digging for bargains
Roger Montgomery
July 9, 2014
Value investors around Australia are united in their view that there are few bargains remaining in the Australian stock market. This is evidenced by the M&A activity seen in the market for inferior-quality companies who have lost market share and suffered declining profits and/or margins. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Market Valuation.
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Telcos, revamped
Russell Muldoon
May 26, 2014
In the last decade or so, Australian mobile phone services have risen from 8 million to 30.2 million. Internet penetration has risen from 30 per cent to 89 per cent of households. And, despite unique anti-syphoning legislation, which ensures free-to-air TV gets to broadcast the big sporting events; Pay TV has increased to 30 per cent household penetration (despite being stuck there since 2008), from virtually nothing in 1995. continue…
by Russell Muldoon Posted in Insightful Insights, Market Valuation, Technology & Telecommunications.
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Ready. Set. Run!
Roger Montgomery
May 16, 2014
According to The Wall Street Journal: “Tight credit, restrictions on the ownership of multiple homes and an easing of prohibitions on alternative investments overseas have triggered a long-expected downturn in the Chinese residential housing market.” continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Market Valuation, Property, Tourism.
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- POSTED IN Economics, Market Valuation, Property, Tourism
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Has the search for yield run out of steam?
Tim Kelley
April 4, 2014
One prominent feature of the Australian equity market in the last few years has been strong support for large dividend-paying stocks. The Big Four banks have been particular beneficiaries of this, and have enjoyed share price gains that seemed to go beyond what might otherwise be justified. The first chart below compares the ASX300 (in yellow) with the banks’ sub-index (in pink) for the past 24 months. Bank shareholders have done very well during this period. continue…
by Tim Kelley Posted in Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market Valuation.
