Market commentary
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The MG EV that blew up downstream
Roger Montgomery
October 30, 2023
While investors in electric vehicle (EV) themed companies debate long-term forecasts for the price of lithium and the pace of EV adoption, the downstream impacts of that adoption may produce more interesting investment conclusions. It’s a side to the EV story that remains largely ignored by the mainstream investment narrative. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Energy / Resources, Market commentary.
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Big Australia policy fuelling inflation and a housing crisis
Roger Montgomery
October 27, 2023
Post-pandemic Australia is experiencing a remarkable surge in its population. Predominantly driven by a sharp incline in net migration after border restrictions were lifted, this boom, which of course brings more customers for businesses, also puts pressure on prices, entrenches inflation when supply is unable to keep up and poses essential questions for the country’s housing sector. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary, Property.
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MEDIA
Ausbiz – “There’s a good reason the S&P/ASX200 has gone nowhere in 16 years…”
Roger Montgomery
October 26, 2023
In last week’s interview with Ausbiz, I wanted to give my view on the stagnant performance of the ASX 200 over the last 16 years due to Australia’s tax-incentivised dividend policies. I also wanted to highlight how this approach leaves little for reinvestment, leading to flat returns. We delved into more insights during the interview, so if you want to hear the full discussion, have a listen to it here: There’s a good reason the S&P/ASX200 has gone nowhere in 16 years…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, TV Appearances.
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Is it time to reconsider investing in an ASX 200 ETF?
Roger Montgomery
October 26, 2023
In this week’s video insight, I explore why the Australian S&P/ASX 200 index has shown no capital growth in the last 16 years. Australia’s taxation system is a unique creature. It heavily incentivises dividends mainly through the mechanism of franking credits. But is it time to reconsider some of your investments? continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary, Video Insights.
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Paul Tudor Jones another bearish investor publicises their concerns
Roger Montgomery
October 25, 2023
A conga-line of commentators have spoken out about the risks associated with equity markets right now. Many of the dangers cited are, however, already well known and, in some cases, have been in existence for years if not decades. Relying on these conditions to inspire a market sell-off is tantamount to predicting when other investors will also start to worry about them. Given they are already in existence and well known, guessing when, and if, sentiment will shift and broadly agree with the commentators highlighting the issue is prone to error. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Global markets, Market commentary.
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- POSTED IN Economics, Global markets, Market commentary
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WHITEPAPER
INTEREST RATES, THE BEST IT GETS. IT’S TIME TO DEPLOY CASH
Curious about the investment landscape in 2024? It appears that the current market offers a plethora of enticing opportunities for investors, a rarity not experienced since pre-pandemic times. This unique scenario stems from a confluence of factors, including elevated yields and comparatively rational equity valuations.
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There’s a good reason the S&P/ASX200 has gone nowhere in 16 years.
Roger Montgomery
October 24, 2023
Yes, to elaborate on the title, there is a good reason as to why the S&P/ASX 200 has gone nowhere in 16 years. As is seen in the table below, from November 2007 to October 2023, there has been no capital gain. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
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Does the long-term outlook for Nick Scali remain strong?
Roger Montgomery
October 24, 2023
Nick Scali Limited (ASX: NCK), a leading player in the furniture industry, and among a handful of ASX-listed companies we would rank as “A1” in terms of quality, demonstrated confidence in its financial and strategic trajectory during its recent Annual General Meeting, shrugging off concerns over the post-pandemic economic landscape. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Market commentary, Stocks We Like.
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MEDIA
Ausbiz – Is this the dawning of a new financial era?
Roger Montgomery
October 20, 2023
In this interview with Ausbiz, I wanted to give my take on a new financial era with stable but slightly higher interest rates. I also advocated for a shift in investment strategies, especially in private credit as a reliable asset class in such an environment. The emphasis on risk diversification and thorough research to manage related risks. Watch the full interview here: Is this the dawning of a new financial era?
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, TV Appearances.
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U.S. Consumer insight from a tiny Denver bike manufacturer
Roger Montgomery
October 20, 2023
Australian equity investors enamoured with the study of consumer behaviour might take an interest in the cycling industry, especially as it impacts the ASX-listed Flight Centre (ASX: FLT). continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Market commentary.
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MEDIA
ABC The Business – Navigating global turbulence: Insights on market impact
Roger Montgomery
October 18, 2023
In my recent interview on ABC The Business with Kirsten Aiken, I wanted to discuss current global issues and its impacts on the market, the recent (and unique) protest vote surrounding Maxine Brenner on the basis of corporate governance, and the recent minutes released by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) regarding rate hikes. You can watch my interview from the 10:30 minute mark from the episode published 17 October. Navigating global turbulence: Insights on market impact.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary, TV Appearances.
