Market commentary
-
What factors influence the future of oil?
Roger Montgomery
November 16, 2023
As world oil’s upstream and downstream industries stand at a crossroads, investors globally face the challenge of deciphering innumerable geopolitical and economic signals. These signals will also directly impact inflation rates with implications for central bank interest rate policy. For investors, the outlook for oil holds more than the usual amount of sway. From potential upheavals in the Middle East to colossal mergers in the U.S., here’s a shallow dive into the factors influencing the future of oil. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Energy / Resources, Global markets, Market commentary.
-
Former NY Federal Reserve President Dudley offers insight on U.S. economic outlook
Roger Montgomery
November 15, 2023
At a recent investment conference here in Sydney, former Federal Reserve Bank of New York president, Chief Executive Officer (CEO), and now Bloomberg columnist William C. Dudley, provided a comprehensive overview of the current economic landscape in the U.S., highlighting several key points that shed light on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) perspective and future policy directions. Dudley’s analysis offers a crucial perspective for understanding the Fed’s current mindset and the potential trajectory of its future policies. All of which, of course, have consequences for investors’ portfolios. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Global markets, Market commentary.
- save this article
- POSTED IN Economics, Global markets, Market commentary
-
Rationalisation of the Australian commercial radio industry
David Buckland
November 14, 2023
In this week’s video insight, I delve into the events of mid-October, specifically focusing on the collaborative proposal by ARN Media and Anchorage Capital Partners for a non-binding, indicative acquisition of Southern Cross Media. The merger sparked concerns about market dominance, particularly in the commercial radio sector in metropolitan Australia, leading to scrutiny from the ACCC. Notably, over the weekend, Kerry Stokes’ Seven West Media strategically acquired a 20 per cent stake in ARN Media, raising questions about his broader interests across Australia. The developments add layers of intrigue to the future of Australia’s commercial radio sector, making it a captivating subject to observe. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Companies, Market commentary, Media Companies, Video Insights.
-
MEDIA
Ausbiz – The market’s ‘weighty’ overreaction…
Roger Montgomery
November 13, 2023
In last week’s Ausbiz interview, I explored investor sentiment surrounding the latest GLP-1 medications, specifically on Ozempic and its implications for companies like CSL (ASX: CSL) and ResMed (ASX: RMD). While the drop in CSL’s share value suggests market concerns about competing Ozempic-style drugs, I argue that these anxieties may be unfounded. My perspective rests on the belief that such medications might not be as transformative in addressing the weight of the U.S. population as investors might anticipate and the affordability surrounding it. Watch the full interview here. Ausbiz – The market’s ‘weighty’ overreaction… continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Market commentary, TV Appearances.
- save this article
- POSTED IN Companies, Market commentary, TV Appearances
-
Would you like some sugar with your mortgage?
Roger Montgomery
November 13, 2023
The Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) latest rate rise has serious consequences for consumers and investors. There can be no argument that the RBA’s battle against inflation dominates investment commentary. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Global markets, Market commentary.
- save this article
- POSTED IN Economics, Global markets, Market commentary
-
WHITEPAPER
INTEREST RATES, THE BEST IT GETS. IT’S TIME TO DEPLOY CASH
Curious about the investment landscape in 2024? It appears that the current market offers a plethora of enticing opportunities for investors, a rarity not experienced since pre-pandemic times. This unique scenario stems from a confluence of factors, including elevated yields and comparatively rational equity valuations.
READ HERE -
Australia leads the world in the annual pace of disposable income decline
Roger Montgomery
November 10, 2023
In its fight against persistent inflation, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has just introduced its 13th rate hike in this cycle at the same the financial strain on Australian households intensifies. According to a disturbing report published in The Australian Financial Review (AFR) this week, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has discovered Australia leads the world in the annual pace of disposable income declines globally. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Market commentary.
- save this article
- POSTED IN Economics, Market commentary
-
Finding stability in uncertain times: private credit’s status grows
Roger Montgomery
November 10, 2023
In the current financial climate, retirees and those approaching retirement are often caught between the Scylla and Charybdis of relatively low-interest rates and equity market volatility. The quest for a stable income solution has never been more pressing. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Market commentary.
- save this article
- POSTED IN Aura Group, Market commentary
-
Dividends do not make a good company – Part 2
Roger Montgomery
November 9, 2023
With annual general meeting (AGM) season underway, what is becoming clear, yet again, is that great managers are good at two things. The first is running the business, the second is allocating capital. Some might be able to run a business, but many managers are incompetent at allocating capital. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Investing Education, Market commentary.
-
The market’s “weighty” overreaction
Roger Montgomery
November 8, 2023
Markets often resemble their participants, and the stock market is particularly vulnerable to the human psyche, prone to bouts of elation and despondency with each new trend. The recent euphoria surrounding a novel class of weight-loss and diabetes management drugs is a textbook example of this phenomenon. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Health Care, Market commentary.
- save this article
- POSTED IN Companies, Editor's Pick, Health Care, Market commentary
-
Why are property prices surging as rates are rising?
Roger Montgomery
November 8, 2023
In the thriving metropolises of Australia, the real estate horizon is gleaming brighter than ever. House prices have surpassed previous highs, putting a final nail in the coffin of those pessimistic forecasters who predicted 25-30 per cent declines. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary, Property.
- save this article
- POSTED IN Editor's Pick, Market commentary, Property
