Market commentary
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Why we think the market is still overvalued
Roger Montgomery
February 7, 2019
The recent falls in stock prices around the world have tempted many investors to dive in and grab some value. But we think this could be jumping the gun – many stocks could still have further to fall. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Market commentary.
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- POSTED IN Companies, Market commentary
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Putting the recent global correction into perspective
Scott Phillips
February 1, 2019
As most Australians venture back to work throughout the month of January, it will be somewhat of a relief that global equity markets have staged a U-turn from the previous quarter and look set to post a solid positive return for the month (as at the time of writing, being 25/1/19 the MSCI World index MTD was 4.5 per cent higher). continue…
by Scott Phillips Posted in Market commentary.
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The year ahead, tell us what you think
Dean Curnow
January 25, 2019
Through late-December I was lucky enough to be on holiday with my partner and her family in sunny Hawkes Bay, New Zealand. Some of my joy was clouded by the wave of headlines, and seeing the performance numbers for December across world markets. continue…
by Dean Curnow Posted in Market commentary.
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Early signs of the negative wealth effect
David Buckland
January 17, 2019
The negative wealth effect from falling residential property prices combined with the podium position for Australian Household Debt to GDP (120 per cent) and Australian Household Debt to Disposable Income (200 per cent) is starting to bite. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary.
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Farewell 2018, Hello 2019
David Buckland
January 2, 2019
As 2018 has drawn to a close, let’s take a look at the year that was. Excluding dividends, the Australian market declined 7.5 per cent over 2018 to 5,709 points. By August, the market was at 6,460 points, and the all-time high of 6,850 points recorded in November 2007 appeared to be within reach. However, the final four months of the year was a rough period for most equity investors. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary.
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Should you participate in a share buy-back?
Joseph Kim
December 12, 2018
The Federal Labor Party has stated it would change the dividend imputation system if returned to power in 2019. This is expected to see a spike in the number of off-market share buy-backs. The big question for investors is: should you participate? continue…
by Joseph Kim Posted in Investing Education, Market commentary.
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Interest rates rise, asset prices fall, and cash is king again
Roger Montgomery
December 5, 2018
In recent months, interest rates have been rising globally, exerting a downward gravitational pull on the value and price of most assets. It’s a trend that’s likely to play out for some time. And that’s why it makes sense to be holding cash. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Components of a recession
Joseph Kim
November 30, 2018
Given the recent movements in global financial markets, including greater volatility and proliferation of warnings concerning the next recession, I felt it was worth highlighting one of the more interesting research pieces I have read recently by JP Morgan’s Global team for a broader macro perspective on how asset prices move in a recession / financial crisis. continue…
by Joseph Kim Posted in Market commentary.
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Two changes impacting markets
Roger Montgomery
November 29, 2018
In this week’s video insight Roger discusses the switch by major central banks from quantitative easing (QE) and the structural changes this will have on interest rates. Market distortions created by QE could prove fertile grounds for investors. This video also covers the rapidly ageing population across the world. How will these two factors impact investors?
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Investing Education, Market commentary, Video Insights.
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Thinking about how to position a client’s portfolio today
Scott Phillips
November 29, 2018
In my role as Head of Distribution here at Montgomery, I am usually engaging with many financial planners on a daily basis. I thought it may be interesting to share with you the most recent observations I have garnered from a broad cross section of these financial planners as they seek to best set their client’s portfolio assets in the current economic environment. continue…
by Scott Phillips Posted in Investing Education, Market commentary.
