Market commentary
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Buyer beware: the Russian invasion has changed the investing landscape
Roger Montgomery
March 18, 2022
In only a few short weeks, the investing landscape has changed, triggered by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the cosying-up by President Vladimir Putin to China’s Xi Jinping. How this plays out, only time will tell. But it seems likely that the deepening divide between these dictators and the west will need to be factored into our investment decisions. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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No sustainability without security
David Buckland
March 8, 2022
In his article in Friday’s Australian Financial Review, Kenneth Rogoff, Professor of Economics and Public Policy at Harvard University, wrote the US and Europe “needs to put energy security on a par with environmental sustainability”. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Editor's Pick, Energy / Resources, Market commentary.
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Is it simply greed that motivated Putin to invade the Ukraine?
Roger Montgomery
March 7, 2022
In 2015, Professor Karen Dawisha – a renowned Russian scholar – published a book titled Putin’s Kleptocracy: Who Owns Russia? It details Russia’s politically driven system of economic predation, which has resulted in the greatest inequality[1] of any developed nation. Her book documents numerous cases of government theft, and provides the context for Russia’s invasion of the Ukraine. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Why Ukraine is not the only concern for investors
Roger Montgomery
March 4, 2022
The war in Ukraine is, appropriately, a major concern for all of us. And while we hope democratic western nations do everything possible to stop Putin in his quest to subjugate and vanquish Ukrainians, it is not the only issue for investors. Here are some of the other major issues to keep an eye on. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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The history of organised trading in marketable securities
David Buckland
March 3, 2022
Organised trading in marketable securities began in Amsterdam in 1602, London in 1698 and New York in 1792. Fast forward to both 1900 and 2021, and stock-markets were a very different place. In 1900, the top four markets represented 56 per cent of world market capitalisation. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary.
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War. What is it good for? Well, surprisingly, equities
Roger Montgomery
February 24, 2022
Edwin Starr’s classic 1969 anti-war song, War, asks: “War: What is it good for?” and responds emphatically “absolutely nothing.” It’s hard to argue with the sentiment. But it turns out Starr was not completely correct. You see, despite the terrifying carnage and destruction, war can often be a fruitful time to invest. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
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The impact of inflation and interest rates on companies’ price to earnings ratios
Roger Montgomery
February 22, 2022
Currently-surging US inflation has triggered a dramatic move in interest rate expectations, which in turn have inspired equity investors to reassess the risk they are willing to adopt. In the space of seven months, US short-term interest rate expectations have moved materially. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
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Where to find growth in 2022
Andreas Lundberg
February 10, 2022
With the first reporting season for the year now upon us, investors should have a good idea of what to expect in 2022. With the worst of the pandemic (hopefully) behind us, the end of lockdowns and border closures, one thing we are likely to see this year is a changing of the guard on the ASX. That’s certainly reflected in the estimated earnings per share growth for each sector, released by JP Morgan. continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Market commentary.
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The one thing needed to cut inflation
Roger Montgomery
February 8, 2022
A number of people have asked me if I think inflation can be contained, and if interest rates can be kept at levels that don’t imperil the economy and impact millions of mortgagees. To my mind, it comes down to one vital step the federal government will need to take. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Inflation from a small cap perspective
Gary Rollo
January 31, 2022
I’ve spent the last few days talking to most of the folks I know in the market, collecting opinions, information and discussing what other investors are thinking on the big topic of the moment – inflation. Not all inflationary forces are equal, and their impact is different in different economies. continue…
by Gary Rollo Posted in Market commentary.
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