Global markets
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Clear and present danger to sharemarkets posed by Republican presidencies
Roger Montgomery
November 25, 2024
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, In the Press.
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The character of a President
Roger Montgomery
November 6, 2024
As the world watches the U.S. vote, it turns the page on a new and arguably uncertain chapter. I have just read a startling essay about Donald Trump’s character. One marvels at Americans’ willingness to vote for such a person as President. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Popular.
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How will the U.S. election impact stock markets?
Roger Montgomery
November 5, 2024
We first published this blog back in August, but that might have been a little premature. With the U.S. voting for their next president in 24 hours, we think publishing today is more timely. Enjoy.
While the U.S. presidential campaign is entertaining to watch from afar (and more than a little disturbing this time around), spare a thought for our friends in the U.S. who have to sort through the rhetoric, lies, and assassination attempts to select their leader for the next four years. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Should you buy a Chinese EV? The U.S. says NO.
Roger Montgomery
September 24, 2024
Australia needs to urgently ditch the luxury car tax so that Chinese electric vehicles (EVs) aren’t the only cheap option. According to U.S. security experts, Chinese EVs are a danger to national security.
In a decisive move with significant implications for the United States (U.S.) automotive and technology sectors, the Biden Administration this week unveiled plans to prohibit the use of Chinese-developed software in internet-connected vehicles. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Technology & Telecommunications.
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Who cares wins?
Roger Montgomery
August 5, 2024
While the U.S. presidential campaign is entertaining to watch from afar (and more than a little disturbing this time around), spare a thought for our friends in the U.S. who have to sort through the rhetoric, lies, and assassination attempts to select their leader for the next four years.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets.
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China’s deflationary environment – the iron-ore price and further downside?
David Buckland
July 31, 2024
Over the past 17 years, Chinese economic growth has decelerated from an approximate average annual 10 per cent to sub 5 per cent, whilst the Shanghai Composite Index has halved to under 2,900 points. Pressure on the Chinese residential property market and China’s ten-year bond yield at 2.1 per cent has been well highlighted, whilst the slowdown in sales from many big brand businesses is pointing to a deflationary environment, yet to be fully reflected in the iron-ore price. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Global markets.
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U.S. reporting season update
Roger Montgomery
July 31, 2024
With 41 per cent of S&P 500 companies having reported their actual results as of Friday, the tally so far appears to be more optimistic than anticipated. Here’s a breakdown of the scorecard so far, as presented by Factset.
The earnings season has kicked off with a robust start: continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Private credit gaining momentum
Roger Montgomery
March 13, 2024
Predicting private credit will become a much more important part of investors’ portfolios and an asset class in its own right has been easy. Who wouldn’t want higher yields with low volatility? And as the oldest boomers’ approach 80 years of age, many are turning their backs on the stock market’s volatility, preferring regular income and total returns that, in some cases, have beaten the stock market. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Polen Capital.
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Australia’s younger generation will be homeless without their (grand) parents’ assistance.
David Buckland
March 12, 2024
According to CoreLogic, the median dwelling price for Australia is $760,000; the median dwelling price in the eight capital cities (6 States and 2 Territories) is $836,000, ranging from Sydney ($1.122 million) to Darwin ($522,000), whilst the median dwelling price for Australia’s regional towns is $605,000. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Global markets, Property.
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Normalise the underlying conditions when “rating” a company’s share price
David Buckland
March 8, 2024
I have often thought it is better to have qualifications in psychology rather than accounting, finance, or economics when it comes to being a successful, patient investor.
Four years ago, on 11 March 2020, the World Health Organisation (WHO) officially declared the COVID-19 outbreak a pandemic. Markets were smashed in a short time, with many indexes declining 30 to 40 per cent over February/ March 2020. In hindsight, opportunities became plentiful, however the ensuing “pandemic-related enthusiasm” was often misplaced. Hence, it is crucial to discern between a fad and something more permanent. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Immediately after Donald Trump’s election as the next president of the United States, market analysts began exploring historical correlations to assess potential implications for investors.