Editor’s Pick
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The housing boom ends, signaling financial turbulence ahead
Roger Montgomery
August 21, 2018
Australian property prices are falling at their fastest rate for five years, thus putting a definitive end to the debt-fueled housing boom. My concern is that this reversal has only just begun. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Property.
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MEDIA
Money News 14.08.2018
Roger Montgomery
August 15, 2018
In this interview on Money News, Roger discusses the current reporting round’s latest company results. JB Hi-Fi’s fundamental problem is the consumer cycle turning. Challenger didn’t meet expectations resulting in a share price fall of 7 per cent yesterday. And how did the market react to the results from Dominio’s Pizza?
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Radio.
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Can Afterpay’s magic run continue?
Roger Montgomery
August 14, 2018
Jonathan Shapiro published an article in the Australian Financial Review which questions whether Afterpay’s magic can continue. Jonathan discusses Roger’s view on the 2.5 per cent net transaction margin Afterpay generated in 2017. Read here.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, On the Internet.
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Diving a bit deeper into the Australian property market
Tim Kelley
August 3, 2018
One of the significant issues currently facing investors in the Australian equity market is the possible trajectory of the residential property market. With property prices having risen to historic highs and household balance sheets having expanded sharply to keep up, the expression ‘primed’ is one that springs to mind. continue…
by Tim Kelley Posted in Editor's Pick, Property.
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Is there more M&A activity ahead for Wesfarmers?
Tim Kelley
July 24, 2018
In this week’s video insight Tim discusses Wesfarmers, with additional details being recently released on the Coles demerger capital structure and directors, the market appears to be largely positive on the transaction. Is Wesfarmers planning more acquisitions?
continue…by Tim Kelley Posted in Editor's Pick, Video Insights.
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Why Westpac will stop lending to SMSF property investors
Andreas Lundberg
July 19, 2018
Westpac (ASX:WBC) has just announced that, come the end of July, it will stop lending to self-managed super funds (SMSFs) looking to invest in property. It will also not allow SMSFs to roll any existing interest only loans onto another interest only period once the existing amortisation free period runs out. What’s prompted this change? continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Editor's Pick, Financial Services.
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Why the RBA can’t stop a slide in property prices
Roger Montgomery
July 17, 2018
Is the property price boom finally over? It looks like it, going by the latest reports of falling auction clearance rates. In the past, the RBA has done its bit to try to stem a property price slide. But with global interest rates going up, and liquidity getting tighter, there may be little it can do this time.
continue…by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Property.
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Property prices are falling – and we’ve only just begun
Roger Montgomery
July 9, 2018
We’ve held a rather dim view of Australian property prices for some time, and have repeatedly warned our readers that the price bubble would end in tears. New research seems to support our thesis. It shows the market is slowing, and home prices are falling the most since 2012. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Property.
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Should we be worried by rising debt?
Roger Montgomery
July 4, 2018
In this week’s video insight Roger discusses how ultra-low interest rates for an extended period – through quantitative easing – has seen unprecedented debt accumulate globally that is not being invested in growth.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Video Insights.
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Stock Bubble? Lessons from Dalio, Buffett and History
Roger Montgomery
July 3, 2018
As we are all well aware, central banks have been, through quantitative easing, suppressing interest rates since the GFC. Consequently, monetary policy has fueled unprecedented flows of institutional and private capital into real estate, private equity and stocks. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.