Editor’s Pick
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Why every setback is accompanied by a different narrative
Roger Montgomery
May 16, 2022
In this week’s video insight Roger discusses why setbacks are a necessary part of investing, especially for those keen to realise better returns. Remembering that the lower the price you pay, the higher your returns, it makes sense that we should welcome market pullbacks. Eventually, there will be an end to rising interest rates and eventually, inflation will peak. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary, Video Insights.
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What Toyota’s update tells us about supply chain disruptions
Roger Montgomery
May 12, 2022
We’ve all heard stories about new-car buyers waiting months for some in-demand models, not to mention the incredible spike in used-car prices. The same factors are behind both issues: supply chain disruptions that are plaguing most carmakers and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). Recent reports by Toyota and Polaris paint a picture of these disruptions, and how long we can expect them to play out. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Consumer discretionary, Editor's Pick.
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Australia’s residential property market to soften
David Buckland
May 10, 2022
It never ceases to amaze me that when a sector that has enjoyed a roaring bull market starts to turn the ‘experts’ try to out-do one another in giving pessimistic forecasts. And that is now happening with Australia’s residential property market, where the general consensus is that prices could soon drop by 15 to 25 per cent due to rising interest rates. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Editor's Pick, Property.
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Rates go up; house go down
Roger Montgomery
May 6, 2022
As we predicted last November, Australian house prices have now topped out and begun their march lower. A quick visit to any of Australia’s holiday hotspots will reveal a testament to the sudden end of the most recent boom – a plethora of properties advertised for sale at the vaguest possible price known; ‘Contact Agent’. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Property.
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Is Aeris Resources purchase of Round Oak Minerals a good deal?
David Buckland
May 2, 2022
We have been asked by clients whether the $234m acquisition by Aeris Resources (ASX:AIS) for Washington H Soul Pattinson’s (ASX:SOL) Round Oak Minerals is a good deal? continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Editor's Pick, Energy / Resources, Stocks We Like.
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What to make of KKR’s bid for Ramsay Health Care
Andreas Lundberg
April 21, 2022
As you’ve probably read in the press, a consortium led by US-based investment behemoth, KKR & Co, has just lobbed a $20 billion bid for Ramsay Health Care (ASX:RHC), Australia’s dominant private hospital business. This values each RHC share at an all-time high of $88, well above the previous day’s close of around $64. So it’s potentially good news for RHC investors – including The Montgomery Fund. But what are the chances of the deal going through? continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Stocks We Like.
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Aeris Resources – drilling is the truth; and successful exploration is transformational
David Buckland
April 20, 2022
Aeris Resources (ASX:AIS) has had a successful drilling program and pleasingly increased its Copper production guidance at Tritton, about 50 kilometres north-west of Nyngen, Central NSW, from 19,000 tonnes in Fiscal 2022 to around 31,500 tonnes in Fiscal 2025, and importantly the life of the mine plan has been extended from three years to at least eight years. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Energy / Resources, Stocks We Like.
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What rising cash rates mean
David Buckland
April 14, 2022
Since October 2021, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has raised their cash rate on four separate occasions. On three occasions (6 October 2021, 24 November 2021, and 23 February 2022) the increase was by 0.25 per cent (to 1.0 per cent) and yesterday (13 April 2022) the increase was by 0.50 per cent (to 1.50 per cent). The last time the RBNZ moved their official cash rate by 0.5 per cent, was on 14 November 2001 – and the direction was downward to 4.75 per cent. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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MEDIA
Ausbiz: Hop onboard the unstoppable EV trend
Roger Montgomery
April 12, 2022
In this interview for Ausbiz Roger discusses whether it is too late to get on board the lithium train. Lithium stocks have come off a little over the past few days, but is it too late to get on board? Regular readers will know about the forthcoming shortage of lithium, the decarbonisation investment theme and the Electric Vehicle revolution. Some companies are up dramatically over a year, although I believe this trend is secular and unstoppable. Watch here.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, TV Appearances.
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Allkem Limited is having a day out
David Buckland
April 8, 2022
Formed by the merger of Galaxy Resources and Orocobre in August 2021, Allkem Limited (ASX: AKE) has an audacious objective of producing at least 10 per cent of global lithium, whilst being a top three global lithium supplier. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Stocks We Like.
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