Editor’s Pick
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Has peak inflation passed?
Roger Montgomery
August 16, 2022
In this week’s video insight I ask the question has inflation peaked, and is this leading optimism in the stock market? Stocks rallied sharply last week based on the better-than-expected consumer inflation (CPI) data. Consequently the U.S. Central Bank and the Reserve Bank of Australia will keep increasing interest rates this year, but then cut them next year thanks to a recession. Are these expectations reasonable? I look at some charts to answer this in the video. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Video Insights.
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Talk Ya Book: A growth stock for your list
Gary Rollo
August 11, 2022
Gary Rollo joined Chris Judd’s Talk Ya Book to discuss one of his favourite value picks at the moment, telecom software business Symbio Holdings (ASX:SYM). Symbio is profitable, growing, generates cash flows and is also on 9 times EBITDA which for an industrial stock is cheaper than the market.
by Gary Rollo Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Stocks We Like.
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What to expect from markets in the week ahead
Roger Montgomery
August 8, 2022
Domestic results season is about to ramp up and investors like us will be focusing, in particular, on the outlook statements. You might recall there was a lot of optimism at the time of the half yearly results in February. Back then, a combination of reopening, rebuilding and expectations of a continuation of accommodative monetary policy was met abruptly, in late February, with Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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More pain to come as the RBA lifts rates again
Roger Montgomery
August 4, 2022
Back in May, Montgomery CEO, David Buckland, said he saw New Zealand as Australia’s ‘canary in the coal mine’. As the Kiwis had raised rates earlier and more frequently than our Reserve Bank, their experience would be a good pointer to what we could expect. If he’s right, we now have the answer: big declines in consumer and business confidence, and falling property prices. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Property.
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Framework for investing is working already
Roger Montgomery
August 2, 2022
We have been prompting investors over the last month or two to consider a framework for investing amid macro-economic, geopolitical and central bank chaos. Trying to pick how markets will respond to a barrage of sometimes conflicting influences is near impossible. The picture is so complex and dynamic, picking whether the market will fall or rise is at best just a guess. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Investing Education.
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Why mortgage stress could be worse than the RBA thinks
Roger Montgomery
July 28, 2022
The Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), Michele Bullock, last week offered a cheerful, if not upbeat, interpretation of the circumstances faced by Australian mortgage holders, who are facing the brunt of the RBA’s interest rate rises. For Bullock, and presumably for the RBA, there’s no need to stress. I hope she’s right, but I fear things could get very difficult for a lot of borrowers. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Property.
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Is Flight Centre part of the recovery theme?
Roger Montgomery
July 27, 2022
In this week’s video insight Roger discusses Flight Centre (ASX:FLT). This week Flight Centre saw its stock jump more than five per cent on the day it declared travel is recovering slightly faster than expected, and consequently, its losses should be smaller. Is the share price prematurely pricing in a recovery? continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Video Insights.
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It’s becoming scary for small US retailers
Roger Montgomery
July 22, 2022
U.S. Retail Industry observer Retail Dive is reporting Armaggeddon for small retailers in the U.S., citing the survey results of Alignable, a small business networking service with more than seven million members across North America. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary, Editor's Pick.
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Why did Megaport’s share price jump 23%?
Gary Rollo
July 21, 2022
Megaport (ASX:MP1) was the ASX’s star performer yesterday jumping 23 per cent on the close following a trading update that clearly surprised many in the market. I joined Roger to discuss why it is a holding in the Montgomery Small Companies Fund and identify the two big messages in the release yesterday. continue…
by Gary Rollo Posted in Editor's Pick, Stocks We Like, Video Insights.
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Dirty little thing called growth and why I think Symbio is good value
Gary Rollo
July 13, 2022
Like in most market downturns, small cap growth stocks are being punished hardest by a market that now views growth as a dirty word. This is great news for investors, as it creates opportunities to invest in businesses whose share price decline is due to changing sentiment rather than deteriorating fundamentals. In this climate, one company we think deserves investor attention is Symbio Holdings (ASX:SYM). continue…
by Gary Rollo Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Stocks We Like.
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