Editor’s Pick
-
The character of a President
Roger Montgomery
November 6, 2024
As the world watches the U.S. vote, it turns the page on a new and arguably uncertain chapter. I have just read a startling essay about Donald Trump’s character. One marvels at Americans’ willingness to vote for such a person as President. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Popular.
- 12 Comments
- save this article
- POSTED IN Editor's Pick, Global markets, Popular
-
Always bet on self-interest
Roger Montgomery
November 5, 2024
Famed 20th-century British author Gilbert Chesterton (1874-1936) once observed, “The poor have sometimes objected to being governed badly. The rich have always objected to being governed at all.” continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick.
- 4 Comments
- save this article
- POSTED IN Economics, Editor's Pick
-
Is AI a fad?
Roger Montgomery
October 25, 2024
If you spend enough time embedded in the world of equities and markets, you eventually see it all. Acknowledging the generations of investors before my generation, I am sure there is still more to see and experience. But from the 33-odd years I have been doing this, I like to think there’s a few things I am now able to recognise. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Technology & Telecommunications.
-
A three-piece update to Nick Scali furniture
Roger Montgomery
October 23, 2024
Nick Scali (ASX:NCK) released a trading update along with first half earnings guidance. Most analysts conclude that the update was a downgrade to the first-half consensus net profit after tax (NPAT); longer-term investors will look beyond the short-term effects of higher freight charges. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Small Caps, Stocks We Like.
-
MEDIA
Market volatility and the unbottling of ‘turning points’
Roger Montgomery
October 2, 2024
It was, for example, wise to be alert to the possibility of a large move lower if volatility emerged after a long rally. And while it has been my experience that volatility does indeed cluster around major turning points, it’s possible I only remember what I want to. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, In the Press, Market commentary.
- save this article
- POSTED IN Editor's Pick, In the Press, Market commentary
-
A portrait of Australia
Roger Montgomery
September 30, 2024
A portrait of Australia’s biggest issues in eight charts. Why eight? – it’s a lucky number of course!
I have put together a concise snapshot of the complex economic challenges shaping Australia today.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Property.
- save this article
- POSTED IN Economics, Editor's Pick, Property
-
A crash is coming!
Roger Montgomery
September 26, 2024
That’s a headline designed to capture your attention. If it has done so, it is highly probable that a crash is one of your fears. And for some people with that fear, the concern is great enough that it has impacted their investing outcomes and returns. For example, they may have held off buying shares in a company that subsequently rocketed higher, simply because you feared the market was due for a correction or crash. You may have also sold a stock too early, even though nothing about the company in which you owned the shares had changed. You simply thought some exogenous event would trigger a broad market correction. And, in a more extreme example, you were right in your prediction about the market falling, but the shares you owned continued to climb. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick.
- save this article
- POSTED IN Economics, Editor's Pick
-
Australia’s population is booming
Roger Montgomery
September 16, 2024
Australia is experiencing a population and demographic transformation, with nearly 50 per cent of our population able to claim at least one parent born overseas. George Tharenou of UBS analysed the implications in his recent report entitled “How will a ‘Big Australia’ impact the economy and the ‘intergenerational contract’?” The report dives deep into the effects of Australia’s population boom on the economy, asset prices, productivity, housing, and superannuation. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Consumer discretionary, Economics, Editor's Pick.
-
ARB share price up as the business invests in growth
Roger Montgomery
August 21, 2024
As you know, four-wheel drive (4WD) aftermarket parts and accessories manufacturer, distributor and retailer ARB Corporation (ASX:ARB) is one of the highest A1-quality companies listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). As we have written here at the blog many times, I believe, over time, investors will transition from seeing it as being dominated by the cyclicality of its Australian business to a global, vertically integrated growth story with the U.S. ultimately generating vastly more revenue than its local operations. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Stocks We Like.
- save this article
- POSTED IN Companies, Editor's Pick, Stocks We Like
-
Pro Medicus: A decade of exceptional growth and sustained performance
Roger Montgomery
August 20, 2024
Ten years ago, radiology software company Pro Medicus (ASX:PME) was trading at just 86 cents. Yesterday, with a share price of $149, investors have seen their money grow over 17,000 per cent in a decade.
The company supplies software technology used by radiologists (who are extremely expensive for hospitals to employ) for medical diagnoses, which also renders them more efficient. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick.
- save this article
- POSTED IN Companies, Editor's Pick
When I worked in derivatives trading in the early ’90s, one of the accepted truths about market behaviour was that “volatility picks up around turning points”.