Bond markets signal caution – time to pay attention READ HERE to learn more.
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What we can learn from Japan’s ageing population
Roger Montgomery
April 12, 2023
Japan’s population is getting older. Today, the ‘land of the rising sun’ has the world’s highest median age, and is the world’s fastest ageing country. Largely as a consequence, innovation, investment and development are slowing, and this is contributing to the country’s ongoing economic stagnation. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets.
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Ausbiz: Looking for growth
Roger Montgomery
April 11, 2023
In this interview with Ausbiz Roger shares his views on the current economic landscape and its effect on interest rates. Markets typically boom in the early stages of a recession and recover as people begin to look towards the future. Will small caps begin to outperform large caps and will growth companies catch up to defensives? Watch the interview: Looking for growth with Roger Montgomery
by Roger Montgomery Posted in On the Internet, TV Appearances.
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The Aura High Yield SME Fund receives a “Very Strong” rating from Foresight Analytics
David Buckland
April 11, 2023
The Aura High Yield SME Fund recently received a “Very Strong” Investment Rating from Foresight Analytics, indicating a “very strong conviction” Aura “can deliver a risk-adjusted return in line with the investment objectives of the Fund.” And given its “Complex” designation, I thought it valuable to reiterate some of the more insightful points in the report. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Aura Group.
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Is the Future of E-Commerce Still Bright?
Polen Capital
April 6, 2023
Three years ago, in March 2020, the head of the World Health Organization declared the COVID-19 outbreak a global pandemic. Immediately after, entire nations went into lockdown, upending life as we knew it. Amid the health crisis, people adapted to the “new normal” by adjusting their lifestyles and developing new habits. Fast forward to today, we can see that several trends which emerged during the pandemic were quick to fade, while others are likely to have long-lasting implications in the post-pandemic era. Continue…
by Polen Capital Posted in Consumer discretionary, Polen Capital.
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The Reserve Bank of New Zealand wrong foots economists…again
David Buckland
April 5, 2023
One way to reduce inflationary expectations is for the Central Bank to aggressively lift their official cash rate to a level whereby the countries’ consumers are in enormous pain, thereby crunching the economy. And with today’s 0.5 per cent tightening to 5.25 per cent, the 11th since 6 October 2021, that is exactly what the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) had in mind. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary.
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ABC Nightlife: Interest rates left on hold
Roger Montgomery
April 5, 2023
Roger joined Philip Clark on ABC Nightlife to discuss the Reserve Bank giving mortgage borrowers a reprieve, if only temporarily, by leaving interest rates on hold at the April board meeting. After ten consecutive rate rises, the RBA opted to wait and see how the economic data plays out amid early signs that the increase in rates so far is starting to weigh on consumer spending and lower inflation. What is predicted further ahead for the economy? Listen to the podcast here: ABC Nightlife 4 April 2023
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.
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U.S. big cap growth enjoys P/E expansion in the March 2023 Quarter
David Buckland
April 5, 2023
After declining 18.1 per cent in calendar 2022, the US-based S&P 500 enjoyed a constructive March 2023 Quarter, up 7.5 per cent. Whilst earnings per share (EPS) declined around one per cent, the P/E rating jumped by 8 per cent to deliver a 7 per cent price return. When adding dividends, the total return was 7.5 per cent. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Global markets.
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What we have seen from the first quarter
Roger Montgomery
April 4, 2023
In this week’s video insight Roger reviews what has happened during the first quarter, the performance of markets so far and what’s important looking forward. All eyes are on the short and long-term plausible paths for monetary policy. Despite this, Roger remains optimistic for investing in high-quality businesses generating double-digit earnings growth. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Video Insights.
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