OpenAI has recently made waves with its launch of cutting-edge speech technology, and underscoring the company’s shift in focus. While this marks an impressive leap in artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities, it also raises critical concerns that the race to release new products may be sidelining safety measures. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.

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It was, for example, wise to be alert to the possibility of a large move lower if volatility emerged after a long rally. And while it has been my experience that volatility does indeed cluster around major turning points, it’s possible I only remember what I want to. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, In the Press, Market commentary.

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by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.

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Last week, I appeared on ABC News to discuss what Coles (ASX:COL) and Woolworths (ASX:WOW) can do to rebuild their reputations after accusations of fake discount claims, which caused a drop in both share prices. Coles is set to defend itself to the Australian Compeititon & Consumer Commission (ACCC), but both companies must act quickly to regain public trust. One of them has the chance to rally community support by being the first to address the issues openly and make meaningful changes to their pricing strategies. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.

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In this week’s video insight, Brett Craig, Director at Aura Credit Holdings, our partner in private credit, and I discuss some common myths surrounding private credit. Together, we explore the evolving landscape of lending to small and medium-sized corporates in Australia, shedding light on the risks, returns, and opportunities. Brett provides valuable insights into the Aura Private Credit Income Fund, and we take a closer look at the strategies used to mitigate risks in this growing market. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Video Insights.

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A portrait of Australia’s biggest issues in eight charts. Why eight? – it’s a lucky number of course!

I have put together a concise snapshot of the complex economic challenges shaping Australia today.

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by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Property.

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In my professional opinion, there’s limited value that can be garnered from historical patterns, especially when those patterns examine the correlation between a single input and its result. Economies and markets are complex adaptive systems, and a myriad of inputs produce the market returns we subsequently experience. Just because something happened five, ten or fifteen times in the past, it is dangerous to conclude it will occur again next time. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics.

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That’s a headline designed to capture your attention. If it has done so, it is highly probable that a crash is one of your fears. And for some people with that fear, the concern is great enough that it has impacted their investing outcomes and returns. For example, they may have held off buying shares in a company that subsequently rocketed higher, simply because you feared the market was due for a correction or crash. You may have also sold a stock too early, even though nothing about the company in which you owned the shares had changed. You simply thought some exogenous event would trigger a broad market correction. And, in a more extreme example, you were right in your prediction about the market falling, but the shares you owned continued to climb. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick.

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