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Market Insights for Trump’s presidency: historical trends and potential catalysts
Roger Montgomery
November 15, 2024
Following the election of Donald Trump as the next U.S. president, a number of market analysts are crunching the numbers on what, if anything, it means for markets. Given there is an election every four years and most investors are investing over a longer time frame than that, who is in charge should matter relatively little. We will examine what might matter more, later in this post. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics.
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- POSTED IN Economics.
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The unprecedented spending by government
David Buckland
November 14, 2024
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is fighting the government sctor where aggregate expenditure has jumped from a long-term average of 22.5 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP) for the five decades from 1970 to a forecast 28 per cent of GDP. “Underlying inflation” is running at 3.5 per cent, and the strength of public spending has been underappreciated, assisting aggregate demand and keeping unemployment low.
by David Buckland Posted in Economics.
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- POSTED IN Economics.
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Visa is a downstream AI applier trying to make a buck
Roger Montgomery
November 13, 2024
I was blown away when I first heard the most popular use case for generative artificial intelligence (AI) in 2024, is a chatbot called a companion bot. Romantic AI is one example of a company providing AI girlfriends or AI partners powered by algorithms designed to interact with users on an intimate level. Other examples include Character AI, whose founders are now at Google (NASDAQ:GOOG), whose technology lets users chat and role-play with real-life or fictional characters, including Queen Elizabeth and Draco Malfoy (of Harry Potter fame), or create customized AI companions. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Technology & Telecommunications.
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The Trump effect on small cap stocks
Roger Montgomery
November 12, 2024
Since 2022, we have predicted that small cap stocks, especially those representing innovative businesses with pricing power, would do well in an environment of disinflation and positive economic growth. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Small Caps.
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Sectors poised for growth under Trump’s administration
Roger Montgomery
November 11, 2024
One of the most frequently asked questions by investors following Trump’s election victory is: what sectors will do well? While much remains unknowable about Trump’s second term, his “promises made, promises kept” statement during his victory speech suggests not all is a mystery. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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- POSTED IN Economics, Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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Big tech’s billions suggest a recession appears unlikely
Roger Montgomery
November 8, 2024
That race toward artificial intelligence (AI) dominance we’ve all been hearing about has prompted some of the world’s largest technology companies – Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) and Meta (NASDAQ:META) platforms included – to ramp up capital expenditures (CapEx) to unprecedented levels. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Economics.
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- POSTED IN Companies, Economics.
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Slicing the pizza
Roger Montgomery
November 7, 2024
Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Ltd (ASX:DMP) is the largest pizza chain in Australia, and through a master franchise is the leading international Domino’s franchise. Operating more than 3,800 stores across twelve international markets, Domino’s has built a reputation for rapid delivery, customer-focused digital innovation, and a growing footprint through franchise expansion. The company’s growth has largely been steered by the strategic vision of its long-time CEO, Don Meij, who has just announced he will step down from his role after more than two decades at the helm. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.
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The character of a President
Roger Montgomery
November 6, 2024
As the world watches the U.S. vote, it turns the page on a new and arguably uncertain chapter. I have just read a startling essay about Donald Trump’s character. One marvels at Americans’ willingness to vote for such a person as President. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Popular.
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- POSTED IN Editor's Pick, Global markets, Popular.