Should you invest in gold? WATCH NOW to compare the bull and bear perspectives
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Why the collapse of building companies is a wake-up call to private credit investors
Roger Montgomery
April 14, 2025
With our own construction industry grappling with challenges and vulnerabilities highlighted by a wave of recent high-profile collapses, investors – especially private credit investors – you need to sit up, pay attention and make some decisions. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.
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Don’t be deceived – chaos to remain
Roger Montgomery
April 11, 2025
Overnight, U.S. President Trump backflipped on punitive global tariffs, bringing them down to a universal 10 per cent except for China, against which tariffs were raised from 104 per cent to 125 per cent.
Equity markets breathed a sigh of relief but is the coast clear? Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets.
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Could Trump’s tariff scheme be a real-life ‘Hudsucker Proxy’?
Roger Montgomery
April 11, 2025
One of my favourite movies of all time was a 1994 commercial flop. A comedy directed by the otherwise hugely successful Coen Brothers. The Hudsucker Proxy follows Norville Barnes, a naive young man from Muncie, Indiana, who arrives in New York City with big dreams and an invention. Barnes lands a low-level mail-room job at Hudsucker Industries just as the company’s founder, who is also its president, commits suicide by jumping out of a window. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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ABC Nightlife – tariffs, superannuation, and gold
Roger Montgomery
April 10, 2025
I joined Philip Clark on ABC Nightlife to unpack the recent market volatility, sparked by Donald Trump’s latest tariff announcements – and what’s next for equities, interest rates, and global markets. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.
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Investing in gold – the bull case
Roger Montgomery
April 10, 2025
In this week’s video insight, we launch our two-part series on ‘investing in gold’. In this episode I explore commentary from a few prevalent gold bulls. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.
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Market shifts and hidden upsides: what investors should know
Roger Montgomery
April 9, 2025
Given the ructions in markets lately – addressing current market conditions, sentiment and their drivers is helpful and warranted.
It was the depth and scale of U.S. President Donald Trump’s much-anticipated tariffs that caught investors by surprise, as well as the tariffs’ calibration to trade deficits and the ambiguity around U.S. willingness to negotiate swiftly. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Is Tesla in structural decline, or is it a once-in-a-lifetime buying opportunity?
Roger Montgomery
April 8, 2025
In 2023 and 2024, I wrote several blog posts positing that Tesla may be just another car company. A couple of example articles can be found here and here.
The share price of Tesla on the date of those two blog posts was about US$274.00 and US$171.00, respectively. The price of Tesla shares, thanks in no small part to Trump’s election as U.S. President and Elon Musk’s pre-election support, subsequently rallied to over US$400.00 per share, and after a more recent 50 per cent decline, the price as of 7 April 2025 is US$239.43. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Manufacturing.
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Going for gold?
Roger Montgomery
April 7, 2025
For decades, it was wise to heed Warren Buffet’s observation that gold has no utility and that over any 100-year period, you will be better off owning income-producing assets. Gold, he said, can only be looked at and fondled. I have previously noted that gold is merely a bet on increasing fear and anxiety, and given these are sentiments, their shifts can be rapid and impossible to predict. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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If you haven’t noticed, the U.S. construction sector is that economy’s wildcard, and it’s sounding an alarm bell that can be heard across the Pacific all the way to Australia.