Since we alerted investors some two years ago that an oversupply of property would ultimately result in a collapse of activity in residential construction, additional nails have been hammered into the fortunes for companies exposed to housing and retailing. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Consumer discretionary, Property.

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Anyone following the financial media will probably know that the going has been tough for active managers recently, with only a smallish minority managing to outperform the market. Continue…

by Tim Kelley Posted in Market commentary.

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As fiscal 2019 has drawn to a close, let’s take a look at the year that was. In sporting parlance, it was definitely “a game of two halves.” Virtually all major indexes declined in the December 2018 half-year, however this proved temporary and the recovery in the June 2019 half-year was quite extraordinary. Continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.

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The 20 June announcement by Caltex clearly caught the market by surprise, let’s look at the evolving landscape in Australian petrol retailing, the competitive dynamics and how this has impacted Caltex’s profit and share price. Continue…

by Joseph Kim Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary.

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Many high-profile US tech companies – like Uber, Pinterest and Lyft – are about to see the expiry of their share lockups, which are akin to our escrows. If the past is anything to go by, this should lead to some precipitous share price falls. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Technology & Telecommunications.

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Veronica Morgan & Chris Bates host the The Elephant In The Room Property Podcast with Roger joining to discuss how to apply the principles of value investing to the property market. Listen here. (60 minutes)

Here’s a snapshot of what you’ll learn from listening:

• How to identify the 3 phases to a boom in the market.

• Why a focus on the calibre of any asset is so important.

• How to apply the principles of value investing to a property purchase.

• What happens to prices when population growth in Australia is underestimated.

• Why access to credit & interest rates are the ultimate driver of asset price.

• When you know what something is worth, you know when you are paying too much!

• What is the impact on property prices with a slow down in construction?

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Podcast Channel, Radio.

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by Roger Montgomery's Team Posted in Old Content.

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The recent, and well reported, examples of shoddy construction practices on high rise buildings have led some experts to warn that this is just the tip of the iceberg. The question for society is: who is responsible, and who should pay the costs of rectification? Continue…

by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Market commentary.

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