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Why the onward march of AI and the tech titans demands change
Roger Montgomery
July 16, 2024
Remember the television show The Jetsons?
I am showing my age by declaring I looked forward to watching the Hanna-Barbera produced cartoon, The Jetsons. Perhaps I couldn’t articulate it at the time but there was something promising and hopeful about seeing George Jetson arrive home in a flying car, then sitting down to a family meal served by robot maid, Rosie. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Technology & Telecommunications.
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How Treasury Wine Estates is turning tariffs into triumph
Alan Kwan
July 15, 2024
The Australian Eagle Asset Management investment team has had a long history with Treasury Wine Estates (ASX:TWE). The most recent holding was for several years prior to the pandemic with positive performance supported by growing profit and margins generated by the success of Penfolds in China. This time around, we see another opportunity for medium-term change thesis that may drive a material re-rating of the share price. Continue…
by Alan Kwan Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Stocks We Like.
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ABC Statewide Drive – Money matters with David Buckland
David Buckland
July 12, 2024
In my interview on ABC Statewide Drive with Jess Mcguire yesterday, we discussed the recent interest rate cuts in Sweden, Canada, and Europe, with New Zealand potentially following suit in the coming months as the economy slows. Consumer sentiment is also shifting, with a noticeable focus on essentials, as companies like Kathmandu (ASX:KMD), Cettire (ASX:CTT), and Nike (NYSE:NKE) project lower sales for the June to August period due to decreased discretionary spending. Additionally, we touched on the significant influence of artificial intelligence (AI) on the impressive performance of the Magnificent 7 stocks last year and this calendar year. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Radio.
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The uneven effect on households
David Buckland
July 12, 2024
The easing cycle for the Western world has thankfully begun with each of the Canadian Central Bank, the European Central Bank and the Swedish Central Bank cutting their official cash rate by 0.25 per cent to 4.75 per cent, 4.25 per cent and 3.75 per cent, respectively. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics.
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Ausbiz – The consumer discretionary stocks defying the gloom
Sean Sequeira
July 11, 2024
In this morning’s interview on Ausbiz, I discussed key market trends in anticipation of the upcoming U.S. and Australian reporting seasons. I highlighted the importance of the impending reporting season to support the current market momentum, emphasising the need to closely observe outlook statements and key sectors, such as consumer discretionary companies like JB Hi-Fi (ASX: JBH) and Premier Investments (ASX: PMV). I also addressed the pressures on Australian banks, including Commonwealth Bank (ASX:CBA), noting their significant contributions to market performance but also their current high valuations and need for earnings growth. Lastly, I touched on the resource sector, particularly lithium stocks, and the importance of upcoming production reports in shaping future market directions. Continue…
by Sean Sequeira Posted in Editor's Pick, TV Appearances.
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Rex Minerals shareholders to take the money and run
David Buckland
July 11, 2024
In this week’s video insight, I discuss the often overlooked “cost of growth” by analysts, using Rex Minerals (ASX:RXM), a minerals exploration and development company, as an example. Despite significant resource potential, Rex Minerals has faced substantial capital requirements and market volatility, highlighting the financial challenges of bringing projects to production. This week, MACH Metals Australia made a takeover bid, valuing Rex Minerals at $393 million, a significant increase from earlier valuations, underscoring the complex relationship between growth costs and company valuation. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Video Insights.
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ABC NEWCASTLE MORNINGS – FINANCIAL INSIGHTS
David Buckland
July 10, 2024
In this week’s interview with Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle radio, we discussed the disconnect between the share market and the broader economy, noting reasonable retailer profits despite rising living costs and declining discretionary spending. We covered the interest rates and the prevalence of variable home loans in Australia. The economy is slowing, with unemployment at a two-year high and discretionary spending low, yet sentiment for technology and artificial intelligence (AI) remains positive, with indexes at all-time highs. We also touched on how super funds might not fully benefit from the share market boom, even as industry super funds grow larger. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Radio.
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Australian businesses and non-bank lenders
Brett Craig
July 9, 2024
The ScotPac SME Growth Index (1) has been a closely watched piece of annual research by the Aura Private Credit investment team, which tracks the adoption of non-bank lenders in the Australian small and medium-sized enterprises (SME) market. The 2024 report has recently been released which marks the 10th anniversary of the annual research. The last decade and particularly last 6 years have displayed a major shift in SMEs adoption of non-bank lenders as their preferred providers of debt capital. Continue…
by Brett Craig Posted in Aura Group.
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