I am somewhat aghast to read of the latest tweet from the Chinese embassy in the United States. It reminds me of a disturbing historical pattern of conflict and caused me to consider the similarities with past pre-war triggers. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.

• save this article
• POSTED IN Global markets, Market commentary.

In this week’s video insight, I discuss the key takeaways from the latest earnings season and what they mean for investors. While many companies exceeded expectations, cautious guidance and trimmed ASX 200 forecasts suggest a slower recovery ahead. I also explore the growing role of artificial intelligence (AI) in earnings calls and whether it’s translating into real financial gains. 

Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.

• save this article
• POSTED IN Video Insights.

In this week’s video insight, I discuss tariffs; what they are, how they work, and their broader impact. While much attention is on recent geopolitical theatrics, tariffs are reshaping trade and markets. Rather than speculating on their effects, I break down their mechanics, from taxation, to supply chains and consumer prices. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.

• save this article
• POSTED IN Video Insights.

This morning, I joined Ausbiz to break down the “Trump slump” and its impact on equity markets, with major indices and big technology stocks facing pressure. We explored how central bank liquidity, bond market fluctuations, and artificial intelligence (AI) revenue concerns are shaping investor sentiment. With bearish sentiment on the rise, the question now is whether this environment presents a real opportunity for active investors and selective stock picking.

by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.

• save this article
• POSTED IN TV Appearances.

The U.S. is a flawed country, but many believe, as the New York Times’s David Brooks noted, is fundamentally a force for good. Citing the Marshall Plan, the defeat of fascism, and the defeat of the Soviet Union, as examples, and acknowledging Iraq and Vietnam, as mistakes of stupidity, naïveté and arrogance, Brooks believes the U.S. has always been well-intentioned. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics.

• 1 Comments
• save this article
• 1
• POSTED IN Economics.

I joined Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle radio to discuss the recently announced tariffs and their impact on global markets. The market reacted swiftly, with both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq declining as investors weighed the potential consequences. Many economists believe these tariffs could have negative long-term effects, despite being designed to encourage onshore manufacturing, particularly in the technology sector. However, such policies also carry risks, including escalating trade wars between countries and disruptions to imports and exports, which could have broader economic implications. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.

• LISTEN
• save this article
• POSTED IN Radio.

Two months into 2025 and a palpable sense of disquiet seems to have settled over equity markets. Far from the jubilant ascents of the previous two years, the stock market’s performance this year has been a sobering affair, marked by a notable absence of vigour. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Technology & Telecommunications.

• save this article
• POSTED IN Technology & Telecommunications.

Here’s something curious: the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) – an organisation with over 160,000 members – has a sentiment survey that offers insight into the opinions of individual investors by asking them their thoughts on where the market is heading in the next six months. They have been conducting the weekly survey of members since 1987.  Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

• save this article
• POSTED IN Market commentary.