We have long been critics of the profitless prosperity doctrine that pervaded financial markets while money was free. The doctrine permitted companies with no profit, and no prospect of making any, to invest private equity and family office money in the pursuit of gaining market share. Often this was achieved by crushing old-world incumbents into submission, if not oblivion. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick.

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Roger joined Philip Clark on ABC Nightlife to discuss whether an economic recession is on the cards. We can say that the COVID crisis created a once-in-a-generation economic crisis, which justified constant use of vast money printing and borrowing to get through it, but in truth we’ve had three major economic upsets in the space of 13 years. There’s no guarantee that we will fall into recession, coming out of the pandemic, but there’s certainly no guarantee we won’t either.  Listen here.

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.

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In this week’s video insight Roger discusses how the higher interest rates expected from the U.S. Federal Reserve are almost entirely responsible for the sell-off in the stock market, causing the Price Earnings (P/E) compression we have seen to date. Unless the Fed surprises with even more aggressive rate hikes, the future direction of the market should now be determined by earnings growth. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.

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Gary Rollo joined James Marlay and Josh Clark on Livewire’s Buy Hold Sell to discuss why when volatility is up, small caps invariably experience a fall. You can still remain invested in the market with high conviction buys and Gary covers the sectors worth attention and tactics for investors to take advantage of the sell-off.

by Gary Rollo Posted in On the Internet, TV Appearances.

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Investors would like to know if we are near the bottom. While, trying to time markets is a mugs game, the following three charts offers one interpretation of the prospects for the broader market. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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This week we saw a change in government, the release of household spending data and Australian business conditions and sentiment data. Continue…

by Brett Craig Posted in Aura Group.

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Gary Rollo joined James Marlay and Josh Clark on Livewire‘s Buy Hold Sell to discuss growth stocks that have been punished and are now discounted including IDP Education, Pro Medicus, City Chic Collective and two stocks that have been oversold and now look attractive. 

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by Gary Rollo Posted in On the Internet, TV Appearances.

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In this interview for Sky News Roger joined Ross Greenwood to discuss interest rates. With the change of government and Jim Chalmers citing a challenging economic outlook, we can define the challenges in our economy as skyrocketing inflation, rising interest rates, and a fall in real wages. Will inflation hold off further rate rises? Listen to the 5-minute interview in this video.

by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.

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