Bond markets signal caution – time to pay attention READ HERE to learn more.
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Aura Private Credit: Letter to investors 18 November 2022
Brett Craig
November 18, 2022
This week, the wage price index demonstrated that real wages are struggling to keep up with the rate of inflation. The labour force remains extremely tight, hitting a high point in 4 decades. With rates rising and migration coming back, we expect this to be close to the peak. Continue…
by Brett Craig Posted in Aura Group.
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Is FTX’s collapse another chapter in the golden age of fraud?
Roger Montgomery
November 18, 2022
In the past week, much ink has been spilled on the multi-billion-dollar collapse of FTX, the crypto exchange started by one-time tech ‘wunderkind’, Sam Bankman-Fried. And no one, I believe, has summed up the situation better than Pete Drewienkiewicz, from UK broker Redington. It’s so spot-on, I’m just going to copy-paste it below. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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WHITEPAPERS
Quality’s performance across the business cycle
Polen Capital
November 17, 2022
Quality stocks have been shown in studies to have robust historical performances.1 This analysis takes a deeper look into the Quality factor’s performance by breaking out its history into the four stages of the business cycle: Early, Mid, Late, and Recession. Continue…
by Polen Capital Posted in Polen Capital, Whitepapers.
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Why Macquarie Group is a high conviction position in The Montgomery Fund
Sean Sequeira
November 17, 2022
Both Australian Eagle and Montgomery have had a position in Macquarie Group (ASX:MQG) for some time. The positive view on the company would seem obvious given the heavy emphasis on first identifying quality businesses in both Australian Eagle’s and Montgomery’s investment process. Continue…
by Sean Sequeira Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Financial Services, Stocks We Like.
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Will house prices drop once fixed rate mortgages mature?
Roger Montgomery
November 16, 2022
In this week’s video insight Roger addresses wave of fixed-rate mortgages that will soon revert to much higher rates and the impact this will have on national property prices. So exactly how many mortgages were written and is there actually a cliff we need to worry about? Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Property, Video Insights.
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MEDIA
Oil, shares and Australian dollar rally as growth to the rescue
Roger Montgomery
November 15, 2022
Vesna Poljak published an article in the Australian Financial Review discussing how US CPI came in at a lower-than-expected annual increase of 7.7 per cent in October, a better outcome than forecast by economists. Vesna draws on Roger’s thoughts on how bull markets tend not to be sustained when rates are still rising. Read the article: Oil, shares and Australian dollar rally as growth to the rescue (paywall)
by Roger Montgomery Posted in On the Internet.
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Some interesting health related companies enter the Polen Capital Global Small and Mid Cap Fund
David Buckland
November 15, 2022
Portfolio Manager, Rob Forker, and the team running the Polen Capital Global Small and Mid Cap Fund have recently added two healthcare related companies to the portfolio. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Companies, Polen Capital, Stocks We Like.
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AUB Group – insurance growth without insurance risk
Michael Gollagher
November 14, 2022
There are many factors that come into play when you consider constructing a portfolio of stocks. Many people want to see a line up of superstars who are expected to shoot the lights out. Having said that, as we all know in investment markets there is no such thing as a free lunch. Continue…
by Michael Gollagher Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.
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