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Ausbiz: Unmasking the Mortgage Cliff
Roger Montgomery
June 23, 2023
I joined Ausbiz to discuss how high inflation and global recession fears are impacting markets and the economy. I also share my perspective on the potential mortgage cliff for Australians and explain how aggregate numbers can sometimes conceal individual-level issues, and that marginal consumers often dictate the outlook for firms and their performance. Watch the interview: Unmasking the mortgage cliff
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, TV Appearances.
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- POSTED IN Editor's Pick, TV Appearances.
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Beyond fundamentals: Outlook on digital payments
Polen Capital
June 23, 2023
In this video Dan Davidowitz, Portfolio Manager and Analyst for Polen’s Focus Growth strategy, shares his insights on the often-misunderstood world of digital payments. Can the Visa and MasterCard duopoly be disrupted? Continue…
by Polen Capital Posted in Companies, Polen Capital, Stocks We Like, Video Insights.
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Evidence of our predicted retail slowdown is mounting
Roger Montgomery
June 22, 2023
Over the course of the last twelve months, we have warned investors off consumer discretionary stocks, consistent with the positioning of our domestic equity funds and the posture of Brett Craig’s private credit funds, which have also been eschewing extending credit to the sector. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary.
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Avita Medical’s medium-term prospects getting better
David Buckland
June 21, 2023
Avita Medical’s (ASX:AVH) RECELL System was first approved in the U.S. for the treatment of severe burns in 2018 and prepares, produces, and delivers a regenerative cell suspension, Spray-On Skin Cells, using a small amount of a patient’s own skin. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.
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Why is the S&P 500 rallying amidst uncertain times?
Roger Montgomery
June 20, 2023
While our predicted 2023 stock market rally appears robust at first glance, the reality reveals a different story. Initially, pessimists expected the aggressive series of interest rate hikes in 2022 to have significant consequences. Consensus the U.S. faces a recession, led many to predict a decline in stock values. However, contrary to these expectations, the U.S. economy has continued to grow, and the S&P 500 Index, which influences global investor sentiment, has risen by over 15.3 per cent this year. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
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Adairs – real estate turnover AND slowing consumption
Roger Montgomery
June 17, 2023
The Australian homewares retailer Adairs Limited (ASX:ADH), is currently confronting the forces associated with a slowdown in foot traffic at its stores and a decline in online traffic due to declining consumption and falling turnover in residential real estate. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary.
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Aura Private Credit: Letter to investors 16 June 2023
Brett Craig
June 16, 2023
The NAB Business Survey for the May reporting period has begun to demonstrate a significant slowing in activity and has identified widespread apprehension towards the future economic outlook. The survey results reported widespread weakening across most of the indicators, as high inflation and interest rates are now starting to limit growth and general market optimism. Continue…
by Brett Craig Posted in Aura Group.
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Ausbiz: AI – a bubble or the real deal?
Roger Montgomery
June 16, 2023
I joined Ausbiz to discuss artificial intelligence (AI) and why investors should take a step back and consider how companies will monetise AI to create a real secular trend. Will we see a bubble if revenue fails to materialise? Watch here: AI – a bubble or the real deal?
by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.
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