Property
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Criminals help make housing unaffordable
Roger Montgomery
November 22, 2023
Those wondering about Australia’s interminable house price rises may have read our blog post explaining immigration is one of the leading reasons prices remain elevated despite the fastest increase in interest rates in Australia’s history. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Property.
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Mezzanine finance revealing another weak spot in the U.S. economy.
Roger Montgomery
November 21, 2023
After the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), U.S. regulators imposed stricter regulations on larger banks. Limiting their riskier lending for commercial real estate and development. Their more conservative lending practices meant property owners turned to smaller banks or sought second loans from non-bank lenders to bridge their financing gaps, often on top of existing bank mortgages. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary, Property.
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Why are property prices surging as rates are rising?
Roger Montgomery
November 8, 2023
In the thriving metropolises of Australia, the real estate horizon is gleaming brighter than ever. House prices have surpassed previous highs, putting a final nail in the coffin of those pessimistic forecasters who predicted 25-30 per cent declines. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary, Property.
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Big Australia policy fuelling inflation and a housing crisis
Roger Montgomery
October 27, 2023
Post-pandemic Australia is experiencing a remarkable surge in its population. Predominantly driven by a sharp incline in net migration after border restrictions were lifted, this boom, which of course brings more customers for businesses, also puts pressure on prices, entrenches inflation when supply is unable to keep up and poses essential questions for the country’s housing sector. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary, Property.
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Don’t sell! House prices must go up (unless you’re in Victoria)
Roger Montgomery
October 4, 2023
Recent data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has highlighted a significant concern echoed by analysts like Leith Van Onselen of Macro Business. According to the latest ABS data, Queensland’s population has grown by 124,200 residents in just the past year, culminating in March. This dramatic increase can be attributed to a combination of substantial overseas arrivals and a notable interstate migration trend. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Property.
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WHITEPAPER
INTEREST RATES, THE BEST IT GETS. IT’S TIME TO DEPLOY CASH
Curious about the investment landscape in 2024? It appears that the current market offers a plethora of enticing opportunities for investors, a rarity not experienced since pre-pandemic times. This unique scenario stems from a confluence of factors, including elevated yields and comparatively rational equity valuations.
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How soon will another property construction boom emerge?
Roger Montgomery
September 8, 2023
The Australian bureau of statistics’ (ABS) building approvals data paints a sorry picture for the supply of apartments today but also points to a much brighter future. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Property.
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Navigating the mortgage cliff: why we’re confident it’s more of a steppingstone than a stumble
Roger Montgomery
August 17, 2023
It was comforting to read CoreLogic’s latest update on the state of the property market in August, which also happens to be the peak month for low fixed-rate mortgages rolling off onto much higher variable rates. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Property.
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How can we ensure affordable housing?
Roger Montgomery
August 1, 2023
As I note below, solving housing affordability won’t be enough with just a massive supply of affordable dwellings rapidly built by state and federal governments. The market for these properties will have to be tightly regulated, and controlled, with continuous maintenance and updates. It’s doable, as is its financing. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Property.
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REA Group continues to deliver for long-term investors
Roger Montgomery
May 17, 2023
Since listing in 1999, the share price of REA Group (ASX:REA) – Australia’s leading online property portal – has risen from around 50 cents to around $140. So you’d have been far, far better investing in REA than in the property market that it serves. REA continues to be one of the highest quality businesses on the ASX, and a slightly underwhelming third-quarter trading update has not changed my opinion of the company’s prospects. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Property, Stocks We Like.
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Cash-strapped borrowers are hammering the housing sector
Roger Montgomery
March 7, 2023
Rising interest rates are already having a major impact on the Australian housing sector. Dwelling approvals are down, an increasing number of off-the-plan buyers are trying to exit their purchases, and furniture and appliance sales are declining. If you’re looking to invest in companies exposed to housing, I’d suggest it’s a case of buyer beware. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Property.
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