Property
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Don’t bet on rates staying lower for longer
Roger Montgomery
August 10, 2016
Australians are getting used to super-low interest rates, and eye-watering loan amounts, particularly for property purchases. Along the way, the household debt burden as a percentage of disposable income has ballooned out from 170% to 185% since 2008. This is nosebleed territory. Is it time to be concerned? We think so. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Property.
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Stand by for a big correction in apartment prices
Roger Montgomery
August 4, 2016
Are you worried about housing affordability? Anxious that your kids can’t even get onto the property ladder, never mind climb it? Well, an oversupply of apartments, plus an increasing number of failed settlements, means all that is about to change. Cheaper apartments are on the way. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Property.
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Look who else is worried about house prices
David Buckland
July 19, 2016
The RBA is not alone in voicing concerns about soaring house prices. Across the ditch, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has warned that a severe fall in house prices could cause major and long-lasting damage to households and the broader economy. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Property.
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Property can only produce modest returns
Roger Montgomery
July 11, 2016
As mortgage interest rates in Australia have declined from more than 18 per cent in the late 1980s to just on 4 per cent today, house prices have become more expensive relative to incomes. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Property.
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You better believe it: the property price boom is over
Roger Montgomery
June 22, 2016
After the frenzy comes the fall. With new apartments about to tip into oversupply, lower residential real estate prices could be on the horizon. And we’re not the only ones who think so. New research by UBS points to an end to the strong price growth of recent years. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Property.
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On Sale?
Roger Montgomery
June 10, 2016
With Auction Turnover declining (thanks no doubt to the election and the fact that the boom in property is over) it’s worth looking at whether there’s a link between the number as a leading indicator and other trends for example in hardware sales (people renovating their shiny new home) and electronic sales.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Property.
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Another way to make money from property
Roger Montgomery
May 18, 2016
Global returns and interest rates are so low that in Denmark borrowers are finding their mortgage balances are declining, even without making payments, because interest rates are negative. Elsewhere, high-quality companies are trading at eye-watering multiples. In private equity, too much money is chasing too few opportunities, and meanwhile investors are happy to buy property that is yielding barely more than bank interest despite the higher risk profile. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Property.
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Yes, its over! Property prices to fall…
Roger Montgomery
May 16, 2016
If you still aren’t heeding our warnings about property prices the data we are about to share should strike fear into the heart of anyone who has just purchased a property or is geared to the limit in property having suffered a misplaced bout of FOMO (fear of missing out). continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Property.
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REA Group: 3Q16 Result
Roger Montgomery
May 6, 2016
REA Group (ASX: REA) has reported a 20 per cent increase in revenue in the third quarter. We summarise the key points in this blog post.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Property.
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Is the housing market causing trouble for realestate.com?
Scott Shuttleworth
May 2, 2016
Investors could be forgiven for feeling slightly anxious on the back of the news coming out of Australia’s real estate market. continue…
by Scott Shuttleworth Posted in Insightful Insights, Property.
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