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The Inside Investor: Earnings Season
Roger Montgomery
September 8, 2022
Australia’s largest companies rebounded strongly after two years of pandemic interruption, achieving a 56.3 per cent uplift in aggregate statutory profits over FY22.
Speaking to the Inside Investor, Roger Montgomery said there was no shortage of themes impacting earnings this year including inventory build for retailers, COVID-19 impacts, floods off the east coast, interest rate hikes, supply-chain constraints, war in Ukraine, labour shortages and soaring inflation.
Interestingly, aggregate cash levels fell from the highs reached in February. Part of this is explained by outflows for dividends declared in 2021, but it also highlights the aforementioned cost pressures including payments for additional inventory and higher costs for staff absenteeism. Subsequently, 27 per cent of businesses cut dividends, above the historic average.
Commenting on earnings season, Montgomery said results were “roughly in line” with his expectations.
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Earnings season: ASX profits boomed by 56pcby Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.
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Polen Capital’s new form of ‘value investing’
Roger Montgomery
May 2, 2022
Polen Capital has an enviable track record of delivering overall out-performance and averaging double-digit annual returns for more than 33 years. Headquartered in Boca Raton in Florida, USA, the firm manages $80 billion in assets.
The Inside Investor recently met with Simon Gregory and Paul Williams from the Polen Capital investment team to discuss the “Polen style” of investing. Speaking about the expansion into Australia, Williams says, “we launched the first fund, Global Equities, about twelve months ago and expanded that to take into consideration the Global Smaller Mid-cap fund, late last year.” adds Williams. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press, Polen Capital.
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Pitfalls of chasing growth over value
Roger Montgomery
November 23, 2020
In this article for the Herald Sun Roger questions whether it is time to tilt your portfolio towards income and yield stocks. As rates approach zero, we believe a final wave of investors who have suffered from inertia will finally give up on their savings and seek to invest elsewhere. Read here.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.
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Stocks that will take off after a vaccine
Gary Rollo
October 27, 2020
In this article for the Australian Financial Review Mark Draper discusses the companies whose share prices will re-rate very quickly if a vaccine for COVID-19 is developed. Mark draws on Gary’s two picks, Webjet and Tyro Payments as companies to watch as potential beneficiaries of a vaccine. Read here.
by Gary Rollo Posted in In the Press.
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The highs and lows of boosting returns
Roger Montgomery
October 23, 2020
In this article for the Herald Sun Roger questions what your options are in a world where interest rates are close to zero and possibly heading lower. If rates on your term deposit went negative and it was costing you money to keep your money in the bank, would you leave it there? Read here.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.
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Bullishness amid the doom and gloom
Roger Montgomery
October 23, 2020
In this article for the Herald Sun Roger discusses the reasons to be bullish during this market. With many of the bear arguments centred around a bubble in technology stocks, it’s worth beginning the bull case with those same technology stocks. Read here.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.
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Why the market can hear bearish growls
Roger Montgomery
October 23, 2020
In this article for the Herald Sun Roger discusses why investors are strongly divided about whether markets are fair value or too expensive and about to collapse. Read here.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.
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Caution a must as markets run away
Roger Montgomery
August 17, 2020
In this article for the Herald Sun Roger discusses the fact that more than half a year has passed since the coronavirus emerged and many of the world’s most populous countries are failing at their attempts to flatten their curves. The pandemic appears far from over which means equity investors who have enjoyed multi-year returns in just a few months would be wise to reconsider their exposure to growth assets. Read here.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.
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Qantas shows no V-shaped recovery
Roger Montgomery
August 17, 2020
In this article for the Herald Sun Roger discusses the decision from Qantas to cut 6000 staff and a further 15,000 people will remain stood down and 100 aircraft would be grounded for 12 months. Read here.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.
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Stocking up is not a sign of optimism
Roger Montgomery
June 24, 2020
In this article for the Herald Sun Roger discusses the current market status. Whether the current economic disaster can be repaired through the printing of money remains a multitrillion-dollar question. The same goes for whether it leads to inflation, or possibly hyperinflation after excess productive capacity is soaked up. Our most recent analysis suggests market prices are broadly at their most extreme valuations since The Montgomery Fund’s inception, but we have added to our holdings. Read here.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.
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