Market commentary
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How good a guide is guidance?
Roger Montgomery
August 22, 2016
How often have we read or heard that a listed company has missed guidance? Ahead of the upcoming 2016 reporting season, I have been thinking about whether guidance is helpful or not and have been encouraged by recent developments. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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Switzer TV
Roger Montgomery
August 19, 2016
In this interview with Peter Switzer, Roger Montgomery joins Switzer TV to discuss the current reporting season and expectations for this year. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Why you should stick with quality businesses
Tim Kelley
August 17, 2016
So far, 2016 hasn’t been an easy time for quality-oriented investors. If you look at returns across the ASX, low quality companies, like many in the Materials and Energy sectors, have provided stellar returns, while high quality companies have delivered comparatively boring returns. Despite this, we don’t believe it’s time to abandon quality businesses. continue…
by Tim Kelley Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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Is this another signal that a bubble is forming?
Roger Montgomery
August 16, 2016
From skirt lengths, to magazine covers to public protests and the rise of ant-establishment voting, signals are everywhere. And, as investors, we need to pay attention to them. Which is why the imminent sale of the long-held Soul Pattinson building in Sydney’s Pitt Street Mall caught our eye. To us, it’s yet another signal that asset prices are over-stretched. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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I feel the need, the need for yield
Roger Montgomery
August 8, 2016
It’s not news to anyone reading the Insights Blog here that bond rates are at record-lows. And it should be no secret that US stocks are summiting record highs. But it shouldn’t be happening and it isn’t logical. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Market commentary.
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Has the market run too hard?
Tim Kelley
August 4, 2016
Recent research by Montgomery shows that not only are high quality businesses, running ahead of their intrinsic value. So, too, are the largest names on the ASX. Which means long-term investors should approach this market with a degree of caution. continue…
by Tim Kelley Posted in Market commentary.
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Don’t throw the towel in yet
Roger Montgomery
July 29, 2016
Jeremy Grantham is the co-founder and chief investment strategist of Grantham, Mayo, & van Otterloo (GMO), a Boston-based asset management firm with more than US $118 billion under management. His letters are always worth reading. “I set myself a task this quarter to give my views on why suddenly so many strange things are going on in the US and in the UK and what they might mean.”
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Part 2: Are Negative Interest Rates Having Unintended Consequences?
David Buckland
July 28, 2016
The record low interest rate environment is seeing investors buying speculative grade corporate debt and extending maturities to generate positive yields. The rewards are becoming increasingly unsustainable given the level of risks. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Market commentary.
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Why it may pay to think beyond the ASX
Scott Phillips
July 25, 2016
In recent years, there’s been a growing trend to look beyond our share market in order to generate above-average returns. This is borne out in a report by Morningstar that highlights a noticeable swing to international equities, alternative funds, private equity and commodities. continue…
by Scott Phillips Posted in Investing Education, Market commentary.
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Sorry is the hardest word
Stuart Jackson
July 22, 2016
As we head into another reporting season, we have taken a quick look at recent trading updates from companies and what this might tell us about what to expect from results. continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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