Market commentary
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What return can you expect from Australian equities?
Tim Kelley
May 18, 2021
Equities, while volatile, have historically provided attractive returns to long-term investors. The ASX All Ordinaries Index, for example, has delivered a compound total return (capital growth plus dividends) in the region of 12 per cent p.a. since 1900. continue…
by Tim Kelley Posted in Market commentary.
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Have we reached peak economy?
Roger Montgomery
May 11, 2021
As world economies start to bounce back after their COVID-19 lockdowns, inflation is back on the agenda. Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome Powell, thinks the current spike is transitory. Time will tell if he’s right. But whether it’s transitory or persistent, inflation will impact stock market returns. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
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Take advantage of inflation fears
Roger Montgomery
May 7, 2021
Fear of reemergent inflation peaked earlier this year, coinciding with a surge in US ten-year bond rates to 1.745 per cent at the end of March. While bond rates have eased slightly (now 1.61 per cent) they remain persistently and materially higher than at any time in 2020. Part of the reason remains lingering concerns about inflation. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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For the Australian economy, it’s full steam ahead!
Roger Montgomery
May 4, 2021
Compared to most other major economies, Australia is now in a sweet spot. After breezing through the COVID-19 pandemic, economic growth is above expectations, unemployment is low, and the outlook for business is incredibly positive. If you add low rates and ongoing government support to the mix, it all adds up to a rosy near-term outlook. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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How Australia will look in a 3°C warmer world
Andreas Lundberg
April 12, 2021
The Australian Academy of Science has just released a landmark report looking at the long-term impacts on Australia from rising temperatures due to global warming. It’s called The Risks to Australia of a 3°C Warmer World, and I believe it is essential reading. continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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Where to invest in 2021
Roger Montgomery
March 15, 2021
The highly respected financial services company, Gavekal, recently published its analysis of S&P500 returns during periods of inflation and disinflation (falling inflation) and, by implication, deflation. Its findings are of profound significance for all investors. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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Aussie companies are now global standouts
Andreas Lundberg
March 10, 2021
According to JP Morgan, companies on the ASX have, on average, received some of the largest positive earnings per share revisions anywhere in the world. The reason is likely because our economy has been less impacted by COVID-19 than in most other nations. But this doesn’t mean our market is looking cheap. continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Companies, Market commentary.
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Why you should be wary if bond rates rise
Roger Montgomery
March 5, 2021
Falling bond rates have helped propel the prices of long-duration assets – like shares, housing and gold – as well as speculative ‘assets’ like cryptocurrency. But, if rates start to rise in a meaningful way, the price of these assets could tumble. Now could be a good time to re-assess your portfolio. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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My take on a terrific reporting season
Roger Montgomery
March 3, 2021
One year ago, with the world entering a pandemic nightmare, who could have predicted the amazing first half reporting season just gone? Now, with bond rates climbing, the big question for investors is what lies ahead. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Market commentary.
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Is there strong growth ahead for Emerging Markets?
David Buckland
February 10, 2021
The impact from COVID-19 on Emerging Markets has, in many ways, been even more severe than the developed world. Many middle and low income countries have struggled to contain the outbreak, let alone report the infections and deaths with any degree of accuracy. Medical resources, which in most cases are in limited supply, have been stretched. Government ordered lockdowns have crippled livelihoods where few safety nets exist. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Emerging Markets, Market commentary.
