Market commentary
-
Cash-strapped borrowers are hammering the housing sector
Roger Montgomery
March 7, 2023
Rising interest rates are already having a major impact on the Australian housing sector. Dwelling approvals are down, an increasing number of off-the-plan buyers are trying to exit their purchases, and furniture and appliance sales are declining. If you’re looking to invest in companies exposed to housing, I’d suggest it’s a case of buyer beware. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Property.
- save this article
- POSTED IN Market commentary, Property
-
P/E multiple movements promote equity market volatility
David Buckland
March 6, 2023
When I joined the financial services industry nearly four decades ago, many high-quality industrial businesses were on a single digit P/E multiple. Interest rates and inflation were extremely high, and an old-timer in the office used to apply a rule that the P/E multiple plus inflationary expectations should approximate 20. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary.
- save this article
- POSTED IN Market commentary
-
Why you shouldn’t worry about ‘what comes next’
Roger Montgomery
February 28, 2023
Lately, I’ve seen a number of media reports pondering if world economies – and equity markets – are headed for a soft, hard or no landing. To me, this kind of talk is a bit of a distraction. Because, as a long-term investor, the objective is still the same: to buy quality companies at good prices. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
- save this article
- POSTED IN Market commentary
-
I was late to the party, but “I’ve got to contain inflation”
David Buckland
February 22, 2023
“I’ve got to contain inflation. I’ve got to convince the community that we’re serious about that. That’s our job and its unpopular and I accept that”. Philip Lowe, Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary.
- 2 Comments
- save this article
- POSTED IN Market commentary
-
Why I don’t think this is a dead cat bounce
Roger Montgomery
February 20, 2023
With equity markets steaming ahead, there’s no shortage of people calling this a ‘dead cat bounce’ and, by implication, predicting another market correction. History, however, suggests that 2022 was simply an isolated poor year for markets, and that we have now returned to ‘normal programming’. If I’m right, then 2023 could be a good year for investors. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
- 1 Comments
- save this article
- POSTED IN Market commentary
-
WHITEPAPER
HIGHER RETURNS AND LOWER RISK? YES, IT’S POSSIBLE WITH PRIVATE CREDIT
Discover how private credit can deliver higher returns with lower risk in our latest whitepaper. Learn how the Aura Core Income Fund’s AA equivalent rated portfolio has consistently outperformed while maintaining transparency and robust risk management. Unlock the insights to achieve superior risk-adjusted returns today.
READ HERE -
Is Europe heading for a recession?
Roger Montgomery
February 17, 2023
Our financial media focuses on Australia, the U.S. and China, and pays scant attention to Europe. But from the little we hear, Europe is doing it tough. Economic growth is anaemic, and then there’s the small matter of the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the impact on energy prices. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
- save this article
- POSTED IN Market commentary
-
RBA raises interest rates again, to a 10-year high
David Buckland
February 7, 2023
All English-speaking Central Banks seem committed to higher official cash rates. This interest rate tightening cycle began in New Zealand on 6 October 2021, and six months later Australia was the last to blink, on 6 April 2022. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary.
- save this article
- POSTED IN Market commentary
-
Why I’m cautiously optimistic about 2023
Roger Montgomery
February 6, 2023
A number of commentators are calling the current rebound in global markets a ‘dead cat bounce’. Veteran fund manager, and famous ‘perma-bear’, Jeremy Grantham, has even warned that stocks could plunge a ‘stomach-churning 50 per cent’ from here. But I’m not so sure. I think there are plenty of reasons to be cautiously optimistic about the year ahead. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
- 4 Comments
- save this article
- POSTED IN Market commentary
-
Australian small companies outlook for 2023
Michael Gollagher
February 1, 2023
Having not long finished the festive season and commenced a new year, many of us take the moments shortly after to reflect on the year that was, and also consider what we would like to see in the year ahead. continue…
by Michael Gollagher Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
- save this article
- POSTED IN Editor's Pick, Market commentary
-
What can we expect from markets in 2023?
Scott Phillips
January 20, 2023
The calendar year of 2022 proved to be a tough one for most investors. In fact, it is only the third time in the last 100 years that both equities and bonds have recorded a down year together (those years being 1931, 1969 and now 2022). Bonds, which usually provide a cushioning effect for portfolios in times of equity market weakness proved ineffective as inflation soared, pushing bond yields higher and bond prices lower. continue…
by Scott Phillips Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
- save this article
- POSTED IN Global markets, Market commentary
