Market commentary

Crossborder Capital recently charted the dynamic shifts in global investor positioning. Measuring “Risk Exposure”, the analysis seeks to describe the extent to which investors have adopted risk, with the task being to identify which markets are ‘overbought’ or ‘oversold’. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.

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• POSTED IN Global markets, Market commentary

The recent removal of the Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives, Kevin McCarthy, seems to coincide with the outlook of an unsustainable budget deficit and the likelihood the U.S. Federal Debt to GDP ratio will soon exceed the record reached in 1946, immediately after the second World War. continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Global markets, Market commentary.

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• POSTED IN Economics, Global markets, Market commentary

The economic outlook both in Australia and abroad remains complex, with the lags from material monetary policy tightening proving to be longer than expected. The U.S. economy is showing remarkable resilience, with the consumer benefiting from savings buffers, fixed rate mortgages and rising real wages. 

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by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Market commentary.

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• POSTED IN Economics, Market commentary

I have a great deal of respect for the team that has been assembled at Barrenjoey, and I have every confidence they will add enormous value to investors through their insights and contribution to the ongoing conversation about the economy and markets. Barrenjoey recently penned a note revealing their outlook for economies and markets, and it’s safe to say, it isn’t the consensus view, which makes it particularly compelling reading. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Market commentary, Stocks We Like.

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Recent data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has highlighted a significant concern echoed by analysts like Leith Van Onselen of Macro Business. According to the latest ABS data, Queensland’s population has grown by 124,200 residents in just the past year, culminating in March. This dramatic increase can be attributed to a combination of substantial overseas arrivals and a notable interstate migration trend. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Property.

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The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released some important data points last week on the state of inflation and the national accounts. The headline figures did not demonstrate the signs of contraction the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is trying to achieve, however looking into the underlying causes and effects can provide some clarity and sense of optimism. continue…

by Brett Craig Posted in Aura Group, Market commentary.

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Australian small companies can provide investors with opportunities to tap into global themes that we believe will drive investment returns in the future. One of these is what is the most effective solution for achieving decarbonisation in electricity production. continue…

by Michael Gollagher Posted in Energy / Resources, Market commentary, Stocks We Like.

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Over recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) has gained considerable traction. And on the back of the resultant excitement, price-earnings (P/E) ratios for stocks even remotely related have soared. Is the excitement premature? continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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With forecasters failing to predict the acceleration of inflation from 2021, and its subsequent persistence, it is unsurprising that the U.S. ten-year treasury bonds now exceeds 4.4 per cent, the highest yield recorded in 16 years. continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Market commentary.

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In the ever-evolving landscape of technology, the rise of artificial intelligence (AI) has become an undeniable force of change. Amidst the hype and speculation, one question stands out: who will emerge as winners and losers as AI adoption accelerates among consumers? While many uncertainties remain, it is increasingly clear that AI has the potential to revolutionise the way we interact with the digital world. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Polen Capital.

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