Editor’s Pick
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Why we should all be concerned about the coming AI revolution
Roger Montgomery
March 31, 2023
Since its launch in November last year, the transformative potential of ChatGPT has stunned the world. After seeing what it can do, Bill Gates said he had just seen the most important advance in technology since the graphical user interface. The trouble is, AI like ChatGPT has the power to obliterate many industries and occupations, and cause massive social dislocation. Little wonder many technologists are warning that it’s time to hit the pause button, before it’s too late. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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Why you should avoid the siren call of high-dividend stocks
Roger Montgomery
March 31, 2023
We’ve been writing a lot about income, and recently I updated some analysis on the importance of investing in growth stocks rather than yield stocks because, over the long run, the pursuit of growth actually produces a better yield. Let me put forward some more reasons why you’re usually better off avoiding the siren call of high-dividend paying stocks. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Investing Education.
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Why profit is important, but cash is king
Roger Montgomery
March 29, 2023
Cash flow is the money flowing in and out of a business. It’s what a business needs to fund day-to-day operations and investments, and protect it from financial challenges. And, as we’ve seen with all those ‘profitless prosperity’ companies, it can be the difference between success and failure. So, how do you identify a business that is generating real cash flow, and one that is not? continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Investing Education.
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Why it pays to invest when Mr Market is feeling gloomy
Roger Montgomery
March 28, 2023
If you’re needing some encouragement to invest in this anxious market, take a look at historical share returns in the U.S. and Australia. Research going back almost 200 years has found that you have a 71 per cent chance of a positive return in the U.S. in any given year. And your odds are even better in Australia. What’s more, negative years, like we experienced in 2022, are usually followed by a positive one. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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How to manage risk in your portfolio
Sean Sequeira
March 24, 2023
Most of us tend to be better at buying and holding stocks than we are at selling. After all, buying is the fun part – it’s when optimism is kicking in. But knowing how to sell is just as important when it comes to your returns. Because recycling capital into higher quality stocks with a lower downside risk is how you improve the quality of your portfolio. continue…
by Sean Sequeira Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Investing Education.
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Are today’s circumstances similar to the GFC?
Roger Montgomery
March 23, 2023
In this week’s video insight Roger reviews the current market situation, including the collapse of U.S. banks and in the fast-moving financial markets, while it may seem risky to rule out another GFC, the probability, upon an assessment of the odds, appears to be low.
continue…by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Video Insights.
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What does the U.S. yield curve tell us about recessions?
Roger Montgomery
March 16, 2023
Today, the vast majority of the U.S. yield curve is negatively sloped. Every time this has happened in the past, a recession soon followed. This is no doubt troubling for those adversely affected. But, as an investor, I am not unduly concerned – any market turmoil could present opportunities to invest in quality businesses at bargain prices. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets.
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Another U.S. Bank fails overnight. Now it’s three.
Roger Montgomery
March 13, 2023
Everyone’s talking about the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) – the largest bank failure since the global financial crisis – and debating whether it’s the start of another financial crisis. There’s Bill Ackman on one side of the Twitterverse, suggesting more banks will collapse like dominos, while on the other side, there’s U.S. President Joe Biden, who points to the safeguards introduced after the global financial crisis to stop another financial crisis from occurring again. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Financial Services, Global markets.
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Is QBE finally back on track?
Sean Sequeira
March 9, 2023
Just a cursory glance at the share price history of QBE Insurance Group (ASX:QBE) is enough to scare most investors away. After hitting a high of around $34 back in 2007, the stock has more than halved to around $15. But a new management team seems to be steering the business in the right direction, and many analysts see QBE as a turnaround story. continue…
by Sean Sequeira Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Stocks We Like.
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Time to get back to basics
Roger Montgomery
March 8, 2023
In this week’s video insight Roger discusses his views on what long-term investors should be focused on. Roger believes quality growth companies will ultimately return to popularity and when they do watch out. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Video Insights.
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