Companies
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Share markets anticipate economic slowdown with enormous P/E compression
David Buckland
July 7, 2022
With the 20.6 per cent decline in the US S&P 500 over the six months to June 2022, the largest June-half year decline since 1970, it is interesting to note this was a period of solid earnings growth being hit by enormous P/E compression. This counterbalance of rising earnings combined with a P/E de-rating often occurs at index peaks, where markets anticipate slowdowns – often by around six months. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.
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How KFC is making CKF a bear market winner
Roger Montgomery
June 30, 2022
Fast food businesses usually do well when times are tough, as many people – and families in particular – opt for less expensive places to eat out. It’s therefore no surprise that Collins Foods (ASX:CKF) – which operates KFC and Taco Bell in Australia and KFC in Europe – has outperformed the market. For the month ending 27 June, the Small Ordinaries Index fell eight per cent while CKF declined half that amount. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick.
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Hang onto your hat, as the free money epoch comes to an end
Roger Montgomery
June 23, 2022
The last couple of years have been one helluva ride, haven’t they? Thanks to a heady cocktail of record low interest rates and massive government stimulus, we’ve seen ballooning valuations for companies with no profit – and little or no prospect of making any. But the free money epoch is now ending, and the dire consequences have only just begun for these companies and their shareholders. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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What accelerating business loan book growth means for the banks
Stuart Jackson
June 7, 2022
The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) released lending and deposit statistics for April last week. The data shows a continuation of the acceleration in loan book growth, which is now running at its highest level since 2008. continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Companies, Financial Services.
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From Private Equity to Zombie – The ABC of capitalism
Roger Montgomery
June 2, 2022
We have long been critics of the profitless prosperity doctrine that pervaded financial markets while money was free. The doctrine permitted companies with no profit, and no prospect of making any, to invest private equity and family office money in the pursuit of gaining market share. Often this was achieved by crushing old-world incumbents into submission, if not oblivion. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick.
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How Resmed is tackling supply chain issues
Joseph Kim
May 27, 2022
The share price of medical device company, ResMed (ASX:RMD), has struggled this calendar year due to supply chain issues and tumbling equity markets. While it can’t do anything about the markets, at the recent Macquarie conference its CFO, Brett Sandercock, explained how the company is making its supply chain more robust in order to capture longer-term market share. continue…
by Joseph Kim Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.
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With oil & gas companies paying no tax, is it time to trigger the ADGSM?
Andreas Lundberg
May 26, 2022
For some years, there have been loud complaints that the Federal government has failed to deliver an effective energy policy that provides affordable, reliable and low-emissions electricity. This policy failure has resulted in soaring domestic energy prices. To make matters worse, oil and gas companies are paying close to zero tax. To my mind, it’s time for the new government to trigger the Australian Domestic Gas Security Mechanism. continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Companies, Energy / Resources.
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The retailers that should weather the coming economic storm
Stuart Jackson
May 19, 2022
Conditions are about to get tougher for retailers as they face a perfect storm of falling incomes, galloping inflation, and rising interest rates. These impacts will crimp the discretionary spending power of many people. The one exception could be the under 25-year-old Gen Z demographic, who have fewer non-discretionary costs than other age groups. The retailers who sell to them could fare better than most. continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary.
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Polen Capital Global Growth portfolio updates
David Buckland
May 17, 2022
In their laser like focus on competitively advantaged global companies, the team running the Polen Capital Global Growth Fund, led by Damon Ficklin and Jeff Mueller, have used the recent market weakness to increase the portfolio weighting for Amazon, Automatic Data Processing and Siemens Healthineers at attractive prices. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Companies, Polen Capital.
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Why Goodman Group remains sanguine about looming headwinds
Joseph Kim
May 10, 2022
The share price of Goodman Group (ASX: GMG) has plunged around 27 per cent since the start of the year as some investors began to price in headwinds for the commercial and industrial property business. Nick Vrondas, Group CFO, addressed these issues at the recent Macquarie Group investment conference, and explained why he is confident that growth remains on track. continue…
by Joseph Kim Posted in Companies, Property, Stocks We Like.
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