A great deal has already been written about President Trump’s tariff policies, which have ignited a fierce debate among global investors and reshaped the landscape of international trade and economic strategy.

If every nation played fair, laid down their weapons, worked in harmony, peace and unity for a global common good, there would be no need for tariffs. But of course, such a world doesn’t exist on this side of Armageddon. In a world shaped by competition, dishonesty and insecurity, Trump sees tariffs as a way of resetting the compass. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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Australia’s aggressive pursuit of renewable energy, championed by the Teal independents and the Labor government, is sold as a path to cheaper electricity and a cleaner future. The promise is seductive: wind and solar will slash power bills while saving the planet.

Yet, recent events in Europe – most notably Spain’s massive blackout and Germany’s ongoing grid struggles – expose this narrative as dangerously naive. Forcing intermittent renewable energy onto aging grids without adequate investment in stability measures is a recipe for chaos, and this weekend, I suspect, Australia will vote to barrel down the same path. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Energy / Resources, Market commentary.

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In the world of investing, few ­assets are as polarising as cash. On one hand, holding cash in an environment where interest rates lag inflation guarantees a loss of purchasing power. On the other hand, cash can be a powerful tactical tool for seizing opportunities, particularly in times of market distress.

This article was first published in The Australian on 24 April 2025. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.

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I joined Juliette Saly on Ausbiz to discuss the first 100 days of the Trump administration, which has been marked by controversial executive orders, mass deportations, ‘January 6’ pardons, and of course – tariffs.

Economically, we see fears of stagflation loom (with Goldman Sachs forecasting minimal GDP growth or even a mild recession), a 19 per cent S&P drop, rising inflation expectations, falling consumer confidence, and small business strain. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.

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This week, I joined Nicola Dale and Di Edwards from the Over the Back Fence podcast to kick off a new monthly podcast series, Over the Money Fence – created to help women build confidence and clarity around money, and investing. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Podcast Channel.

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In the days following Trump’s tariff announcement, the S&P 500 plunged 10 per cent in just two days, 10-year treasury yields swung wildly, and gold, after touching a peak, stumbled. Add to this the backdrop of escalating global trade tensions – think U.S.-China tariffs – and it’s no surprise that investors are on edge. Meanwhile, consumers are wrestling with their own worries about inflation, jobs, and the economy’s trajectory. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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In the final part of this series, I speak with June Lui, Portfolio Manager and Analyst from Polen Capital’s Emerging Markets Growth Team, to explore China’s dominance in artificial intelligence (AI), and innovative technologies.

We discuss how Polen Capital – our investment partner in global equities – evaluates whether new technology companies are capable of generating profitable growth. June shares insights on the excitement around AI developments, such as DeepSeek, and whether these companies will be able to compete with established technology giants. We also discuss the potential for opportunity in large and small language models. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.

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The U.S is careening toward a potential recession, propelled by a dramatic escalation in trade barriers, including unprecedented tariffs on imports from China, one of its largest trading partners.

Economists believe the sweeping “Liberation Day” tariff initiative could trigger a sharp economic contraction by summer, and the fallout is already evident across corporate earnings, consumer behaviour, and global trade dynamics. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.

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