Roger joined Philip Clark on ABC Nightlife to discuss whether historical trends and precedents can help guide you in the future. Discussing the issues weighing on financial markets and if there could be a bull market happening this year. In the very worst years, when the market fell between 30-50 per cent, after those years what we find is that the pendulum then swung almost completely the other way.

Does past performance help us predict future performance?
Listen to the podcast here: ABC Nightlife 7 February 2023

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.

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After a big spending couple of years, Meta CEO, Mark Zuckerberg, last week declared 2023 would be a “year of efficiency.” Zuckerberg’s statement sent Meta’s share price soaring. And his objective of delivering a leaner organisation in the face of a slowing economy is shared by many U.S. companies now reporting full-year 2022 results. Efficiency, it seems, will be one of the key themes this reporting season. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Technology & Telecommunications.

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All English-speaking Central Banks seem committed to higher official cash rates. This interest rate tightening cycle began in New Zealand on 6 October 2021, and six months later Australia was the last to blink, on 6 April 2022. Continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary.

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Just how do you value a company like Lark Distilling (ASX:LRK), whose main asset (award-winning Tasmanian whisky) is locked up for years, but increases in value as it matures. The answer: it’s hard. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick.

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ADIs, or Authorised Deposit-taking Institutions, have been looking into how to incorporate the same underwriting technology that many fintech/non-bank lenders already have for some time now, with the intention of utilising the technology on unsecured SME credit. Continue…

by Brett Craig Posted in Aura Group.

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Roger joined Sean Aylmer on the Fear and Greed interview to discuss mergers and acquisitions. What does a company look for when considering a takeover and what happens when they pay too much?

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Podcast Channel.

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A number of commentators are calling the current rebound in global markets a ‘dead cat bounce’. Veteran fund manager, and famous ‘perma-bear’, Jeremy Grantham, has even warned that stocks could plunge a ‘stomach-churning 50 per cent’ from here. But I’m not so sure. I think there are plenty of reasons to be cautiously optimistic about the year ahead. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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At the end of 2021, Ernst and Young in an annual paper exploring the private debt market in Australia estimated its size to be AU$133 billion and growing 21 per cent year on year.[1] Whilst at a record size for Australia, it remains vastly immature when compared globally where the private debt market is estimated to be as large as US$1.2 trillion which has grown by 13.5 per cent annually over the last decade.[2] Continue…

by Dean Curnow Posted in Aura Group.

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