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USA – turning $1 into $70,000 over 123 years – that’s 9.5% p.a.
David Buckland
March 22, 2023
Cantering through the Credit Suisse Returns Yearbook 2023, released about one month ago by the now defunct 166 year old bank, I came across some interesting data I wanted to share with you. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary.
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Volatility is the window to opportunity
Michael Gollagher
March 21, 2023
In the past fortnight we have seen the markets swing from a focus on interest rates and inflation, to the prospect of the stability of the Global Financial System post the failure of Silicon Valley and Signature Banks in the U.S. This has also made its way to Europe with turmoil surrounding Credit Suisse, and a subsequent financing package being supplied by the Swiss Central Bank to calm short term nerves around their stability and also a demonstration of Government’s willingness to act. Continue…
by Michael Gollagher Posted in Market commentary.
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MEDIA
ABC Nightlife: Economic growth but financial headwinds ahead?
Roger Montgomery
March 20, 2023
Roger joined Philip Clark on ABC Nightlife to discuss what to make of the Silicon Valley Bank collapse. Since 2008 banks have been operating in a world of ultra-low interest rates and periodic injections of electronic cash from central banks. What are the ramifications on our world markets? Listen to our interview here:
ABC Nightlife: Economic growth but financial headwinds ahead?by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.
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This too will pass
Roger Montgomery
March 20, 2023
Market and finance commentators have expended enormous energy writing on the subject of the collapse of Silicon Valley, Signature and Silvergate banks, and the subsequent challenges faced by Credit Suisse. And equally expert commentary will soon speculate about who’ll be next and then about those that subsequently do collapse (First Republic Bank anyone?) Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets.
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What constitutes a quality business?
David Buckland
March 17, 2023
With the demise of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and the effect on Credit Suisse – its share price has declined 90 per cent in five years to CHF1.70 – I thought it appropriate to return to basics and dig a bit deeper into what constitutes a “Quality” business, also known as a “Compounding Machine.” Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Investing Education.
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What does the U.S. yield curve tell us about recessions?
Roger Montgomery
March 16, 2023
Today, the vast majority of the U.S. yield curve is negatively sloped. Every time this has happened in the past, a recession soon followed. This is no doubt troubling for those adversely affected. But, as an investor, I am not unduly concerned – any market turmoil could present opportunities to invest in quality businesses at bargain prices. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets.
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Polen Capital expands its global emerging markets footprint
David Buckland
March 15, 2023
In this week’s video insight David provides an update on our global equity partner Polen Capital including how the Polen Capital Global Emerging Markets Growth Team selects what they believe are high quality 25-40 companies with difficult-to-replicate competitive advantages.
by David Buckland Posted in Polen Capital, Video Insights.
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Aura Private Credit: Letter to investors 10 March 2023
Brett Craig
March 14, 2023
The RBA is “resolute in its determination to return inflation to target and will do what is necessary to achieve that.” Last week’s 25 basis point rise to the official cash rate, now sitting at 3.6 per cent, forms part of the RBA’s approach to reign inflation back into the 2-3 per cent target range, implying that further pain is ahead. Continue…
by Brett Craig Posted in Aura Group.
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