In my recent article for Firstlinks, I revisited the stance I took nearly a year ago, advocating for investment in small caps – a position that seemed premature at the time. Subsequently, the investment landscape has evolved significantly, steering many investors, myself included, towards smaller companies both domestically and internationally. The current macroeconomic backdrop, characterised by disinflation and positive economic growth, seems particularly conducive to smaller companies with robust pricing power and innovation, traits that are essential for outperformance. Read the full article here for my full insights: Small caps are compelling but not for the reasons you might think… 

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, On the Internet.

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During the March 2024 quarter, the Polen Capital Global Growth Fund (the Fund) increased by 12.49 per cent in Australian dollars, while its benchmark, the MSCI ACWI Net Total Return Index, in Australian Dollars, returned 13.10 per cent. In many ways, the first quarter marked a continuation of the market dynamics already in place at the end of last year.   Continue…

by Polen Capital Posted in Polen Capital.

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In this week’s video insight, I delve into Nvidia’s (NASDAQ:NVDA) remarkable trajectory, from a key player in the autonomous car industry to a soaring tech giant, and its subsequent 1300 per cent rally. However, beyond Nvidia’s individual narrative, I confront the core challenge of valuing growth, dissecting the balance between growth rate and sustainability over time.   Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Technology & Telecommunications, Video Insights.

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The frequency of calls that the market is in a euphoric bubble is increasing. It’s worth exploring some of the evidence used to reach that conclusion before deciding whether now is the time to adopt a more cautious stance and to ready oneself for the benefits lower prices deliver.   Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics.

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After the disaster for equity markets in 2022, calendar 2023 saw investors return to rewarding robust fundamentals, but only for a very narrow band of companies. Perhaps it was the fear of further rate rises or the fear of recession, but investors concentrated their bets on only the most liquid securities, those of mega cap companies. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Technology & Telecommunications.

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In a constantly evolving investment landscape, private credit stands out as an important opportunity, especially for those seeking alternatives to traditional income solutions and volatile public markets. Private credit is an option for investing that, for example, can generate potentially superior income streams to those from owning bank shares, but without the risk to capital that comes with the stock market.  Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group.

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In this week’s video insight, I delve into the promising realm of small cap companies for 2024, a sector where I’ve maintained a bullish stance since November 2022. The Small Ordinaries Index and the S&P600 Small Cap Index have shown noteworthy gains, underscoring the potential that these companies hold in a recovering economy. As global economic indicators signal a gradual improvement and the potential for a disinflationary boom, the stage is set for innovative small caps to thrive, especially with interest rates poised for a cut.  Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Small Caps, Video Insights.

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Wow. Talk about playing the man and not the ball! Perhaps some of the most vitriolic feedback I have encountered has come from those who have chosen to write to me explaining how wrong I am about Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) possibly being just another car company. 

They’re as staunchly convinced about the company’s prospects as they are about its products.  Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick.

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