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Three companies exposed to the housing slump
Roger Montgomery
October 28, 2019
Between 2012 and 2016, mortgage lending standards were relaxed fuelling a domestic property investing boom. Together with a surge in offshore buying interest, a property and construction boom led to oversupply and frequent warnings from your author. The oversupply is now hitting the property market at the same time that bank lending standards have been tightened, property prices are falling, quality has been found wanting and building approvals have plunged. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Property.
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Changing competitive dynamics in mortgage lending
Stuart Jackson
October 28, 2019
In my video blog last week, I discussed why the major banks had not passed on the recent RBA rate cuts in full. This is due to an increasing proportion of each bank’s funding base approaching zero or close to zero interest rates. As most bank customers would know, transaction and traditional savings accounts pay little or no interest at present. This fixes the funding cost of these deposits for the banks irrespective of what the RBA does in terms of lowering its official overnight rate. Continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Companies, Financial Services.
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It’s all about the Cash Flow
David Buckland
October 25, 2019
Roger Montgomery has written extensively about the profitless Unicorns – recent start-ups like Slack Technologies, Uber, Lyft, Peloton and WeWork – which are yet to produce predictable or sustainable cash flow. The table below details each of these companies’ share price movements from their recent peak, their current market capitalisation, their recent quarterly revenue on an annualised basis, and finally the ratio of the current market capitalisation to annualised revenue. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Companies.
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At Super Retail Group, sales keep on rising
Roger Montgomery
October 24, 2019
Super Retail Group (ASX:SUL) is one of Australia’s best-performing listed retailers. And that was borne out again in its latest trading update, which revealed growing sales across all its franchises. However, margins are starting to come under pressure as the business seeks to grow market share. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.
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You were warned – beware of those profitless Unicorns
Roger Montgomery
October 24, 2019
As regular readers know, we’re not great fans of profitless ‘Unicorns’ – the name given to startups valued at over $1 billion – like Tesla, Slack, Uber, Peloton, Lyft and WeWork. For a long time we’ve been hyper-critical of these companies in our blogs, The Australian, Professional Planner and Money Magazine. And, as that latest from WeWork reveals, boy have our concerns been justified! Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick.
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MEDIA
Money News 23.10.2019
Roger Montgomery
October 23, 2019
Roger Montgomery joined Ross Greenwood on Money News to discuss the WAAAX stocks. What’s implied in the price of these companies is that once they grow revenue and market share they will have the market to themselves. Although this isn’t the case, take a look at Uber for example – there are many competitors.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.
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Why is consumer sentiment falling despite rate cuts?
Andreas Lundberg
October 22, 2019
In this week’s video insight Andreas takes a look at Westpac’s consumer sentiment data that was recently published. Normally, you would expect rate cuts flowing through to reduced mortgage costs to make people feel better about their economic situation although that doesn’t seem to be the case.
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Editor's Pick, Video Insights.
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