In financial markets, it’s said history doesn’t repeat, but it frequently rhymes. The recent bond market moves seem to reflect a market rhyming with the 2023 bond tantrum, threatening to disrupt everything from home mortgages and corporate credit to government financing and equity valuations.

U.S. Treasury yields have broken out of what has widely been described as a multi-year range, pushing the benchmark U.S.10-year yield toward 5.00 per cent. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Market commentary.

• 2 Comments
• save this article
• 2
• POSTED IN Economics, Market commentary.

Clint Maddock, Director and Co-Founder of Digital Asset Funds Management (DAFM), speaks with Chris Gosselin, CEO of Australian Fund Monitors, about the DAFM Digital Income Fund – Digital Income Class. They discuss the fund’s arbitrage strategy, the impact of lower crypto volatility and trading volumes, the outlook for digital asset markets, and DAFM’s distribution partnership with Montgomery. 

Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Digital Asset Funds Management, Video Insights.

• save this article
• POSTED IN Digital Asset Funds Management, Video Insights.

I joined Jess Maguire on ABC Statewide Drive to discuss rising U.S. interest rates and bond yields, what is driving them, and the potential flow-on effects for Australia. We also explored government debt, artificial intelligence (AI) investment, equity markets and what higher borrowing costs could mean for investors.

Listen from 1:43:51 here: ABC Statewide Drive 

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Market commentary, Radio.

• save this article
• POSTED IN Economics, Market commentary, Radio.

I joined Juliette Saly on Ausbiz to discuss rising U.S. bond yields and what higher interest rates could mean for markets. We also explored growing U.S. government debt, competition for capital from the artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure boom, and the warning signs to watch across mortgages, highly leveraged companies and credit markets.

Watch here: The $40 trillion debt problem facing U.S. markets 

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, TV Appearances.

• save this article
• POSTED IN Economics, Editor's Pick, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, TV Appearances.

In recent months, the chart shown in Figure 1., has been doing the rounds, inspiring fear among some observers that a stock market crash is imminent. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Global markets, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Market Valuation.

• 2 Comments
• save this article
• 2
• POSTED IN Economics, Editor's Pick, Global markets, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Market Valuation.

July and August 2026 have delivered a useful reminder that even the strongest investment narratives eventually collide with economics.

According to The Wall Street Journal, US momentum stocks suffered one of their worst stretches in decades. Bank of America noted July 2026 was one of the worst months for momentum trading in nearly forty years.

As artificial intelligence (AI)-related equities suffered their violent reversal, some of the market’s most popular semiconductor and memory names fell extraordinarily quickly. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Manufacturing, Market commentary, Technology & Telecommunications.

• save this article
• POSTED IN Manufacturing, Market commentary, Technology & Telecommunications.

I explain how we’re using AI in two key areas: to support investment research by synthesising information, generating ideas and identifying changes or inflection points in company reporting, and internally to improve how we allocate capital across the portfolio. Our internal AI operates offline, allowing us to use our proprietary research while keeping that information secure.

by Sean Sequeira Posted in Insightful Insights, Technology & Telecommunications, Video Insights.

• save this article
• POSTED IN Insightful Insights, Technology & Telecommunications, Video Insights.

Billionaire philanthropist Bill Gates has waded into the artificial intelligence (AI) debate again, this time with a near-6,000-word essay on the transition to the AI era, describing it as one of the most turbulent periods in human history, and warning, “AI is improving faster than anyone expected…and could begin to act against our interests and we could lose control.”

While AI carries enormous potential to improve lives, Gates says the world is currently underprepared for the speed with which it will impact us socially, politically, and economically.

In his latest essay published on his website GatesNotes.com, Gates writes, “The transition to the AI era will be one of the most turbulent times in human history. Right now, we are not preparing adequately for that transition,” adding, “in terms of equity, AI will either be the greatest equalizer ever invented, or the worst source of injustice.” Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Technology & Telecommunications.

• 1 Comments
• save this article
• 1
• POSTED IN Market commentary, Technology & Telecommunications.