This week on ABC Statewide Drive with Jess Maguire, I explored the risks of stagflation and rising debt. While markets may look strong on the surface, the reality is more complex. Stagflation – when economic growth slows or stalls while prices continue to rise ­– creates a challenging environment for investors. We’re beginning to see signs of a slowing economy alongside persistent inflation, and that combination is far from ideal. So, what does this mean for share prices, and how should investors think about adapting their portfolios?

Listen to the full conversation from 1:44:30 here: Statewide Drive – Stagflation and rising debt

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.

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I recently penned a blog post in which I highlighted the market-related concerns of American economist, chess Grandmaster, professor of international economics at Harvard University, former International Monetary Fund (IMF) Chief Economist and co-author of This Time is Different: Eight centuries of Financial Folly, Kenneth Rogoff. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.

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I joined Juliette Saly from Ausbiz to discuss America’s growing debt crisis and the looming risk of stagflation – the mix of slowing growth and stubborn inflation. We explored why rising borrowing costs, political pressure on the Federal Reserve, and stretched equity valuations are fuelling concerns, and what this means for investors navigating fragile markets. We also looked at the drivers behind the recent gold price surge.

by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.

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In this episode of Over the Money Fence I joined Nicola and Di to explore the different ways you can build your wealth. We talk about the incredible impact of compounding interest over time – and what you can achieve if you were to start investing from an early age. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Investing Education, Podcast Channel.

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There is considerable academic and market commentary showing that equity markets often take time – sometimes weeks or months – to digest new information fully.

While Eugene Fama’s efficient market hypothesis posits that prices reflect available information almost instantly, we know that information is not evenly distributed. For example, studies on “post-earnings announcement drift” demonstrate that after companies release quarterly results, share prices tend to drift in the direction of the earnings surprise for an extended period. This implies investors initially underreact. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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As August 2025 has now wrapped up, Australia’s reporting season has again delivered a snapshot of the economy’s trajectory. For years, we’ve heard the refrain of a “resilient” domestic market weathering global headwinds, interest rate hikes, and inflationary pressures. But this time around, the narrative has evolved. Companies across the ASX are signalling that resilience is giving way to tentative recovery, particularly in consumer spending and the housing sectors. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Market commentary.

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In my article for Firstlinks, I explore whether a new brand of capitalism is emerging – one where governments take equity stakes in key industries to fund public services. Drawing on recent moves by the U.S. under Trump, I ask if Australia should consider a similar model to turn our resource wealth into broader social good, rather than relying solely on higher taxes or immigration.

You can read the article here: Firstlinks – Should Australia follow Trump’s new brand of capitalism? 

by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press, On the Internet.

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Over the weekend, many Australians took to the streets to raise awareness about the adverse consequences and costs of Australia’s current migration policy. Those marches were peaceful, except, of course, in Victoria (where the government has legislated, or seeks to legislate, working from home and stealing from Woolworths, Bunnings, and Coles). Unfortunately, a radical element has grabbed the headlines, but setting those headlines aside, it is worth noting that the current architects of Australia’s migration policy have MPs who agree the system is broken and failing to deliver for Australia. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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