Market commentary
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The history of organised trading in marketable securities
David Buckland
March 3, 2022
Organised trading in marketable securities began in Amsterdam in 1602, London in 1698 and New York in 1792. Fast forward to both 1900 and 2021, and stock-markets were a very different place. In 1900, the top four markets represented 56 per cent of world market capitalisation. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary.
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War. What is it good for? Well, surprisingly, equities
Roger Montgomery
February 24, 2022
Edwin Starr’s classic 1969 anti-war song, War, asks: “War: What is it good for?” and responds emphatically “absolutely nothing.” It’s hard to argue with the sentiment. But it turns out Starr was not completely correct. You see, despite the terrifying carnage and destruction, war can often be a fruitful time to invest. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
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The impact of inflation and interest rates on companies’ price to earnings ratios
Roger Montgomery
February 22, 2022
Currently-surging US inflation has triggered a dramatic move in interest rate expectations, which in turn have inspired equity investors to reassess the risk they are willing to adopt. In the space of seven months, US short-term interest rate expectations have moved materially. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
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Where to find growth in 2022
Andreas Lundberg
February 10, 2022
With the first reporting season for the year now upon us, investors should have a good idea of what to expect in 2022. With the worst of the pandemic (hopefully) behind us, the end of lockdowns and border closures, one thing we are likely to see this year is a changing of the guard on the ASX. That’s certainly reflected in the estimated earnings per share growth for each sector, released by JP Morgan. continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Market commentary.
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The one thing needed to cut inflation
Roger Montgomery
February 8, 2022
A number of people have asked me if I think inflation can be contained, and if interest rates can be kept at levels that don’t imperil the economy and impact millions of mortgagees. To my mind, it comes down to one vital step the federal government will need to take. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Inflation from a small cap perspective
Gary Rollo
January 31, 2022
I’ve spent the last few days talking to most of the folks I know in the market, collecting opinions, information and discussing what other investors are thinking on the big topic of the moment – inflation. Not all inflationary forces are equal, and their impact is different in different economies. continue…
by Gary Rollo Posted in Market commentary.
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US inflation and the pressure on asset valuations
David Buckland
January 24, 2022
Over calendar 2021, US inflation jumped from a very tame 1.4 per cent to a worrying 7.0 per cent, the highest level recorded in four decades. The last time US inflation was at this level, the yield on the US ten-year Government Bonds was 13.5 per cent. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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What is the LNG industry really worth to the WA economy?
Andreas Lundberg
January 21, 2022
If you think the giant Liquefied Natural Gas industry is a tax and jobs creating engine for the West Australian economy, you might be surprised by some recent research by The Australia Institute. They have found that, in 2020/21, tax collected was around half the money generated from motor vehicle registrations. And LNG jobs represented less than 1 per cent of total jobs. continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Energy / Resources, Market commentary.
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Farewell 2021, hello 2022
David Buckland
January 6, 2022
Given the sell-off in bond yields so far this year, rising inflationary expectations, and the collapse of the Evergrande Group in China, it is unsurprising many global share market indices took a breather and recorded a relatively lacklustre December 2021 half-year in terms of performance. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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Why I think 2022 will be a very good year for investors
Roger Montgomery
January 5, 2022
A year ago, I wrote an article in The Australian which set out the factors I thought would make it a very good year for equities. So far, the local market has behaved as expected – despite all the turmoil in the world – with the All Ordinaries up 13.6 per cent for the 12 months to 31 December 2021. Looking ahead, I think markets will continue to reward investors, particularly those who invest in quality businesses. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
