Insightful Insights
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MEDIA
Which Energy Stocks Does Roger Rate?
Roger Montgomery
February 21, 2013
In the highlights from this edition of Peter Switzer’s Sky Business program broadcast 21 February 2013, Roger provides his latest insights into Origin Energy (ORG) and BHP (BHP), and also explains how applying his Value.able investment strategy still makes Wesfarmers (WES) a stock that Montgomery Investment Management won’t hold in the near term, despite its price recovery. Watch here.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary, Energy / Resources, Insightful Insights, TV Appearances.
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A little archeology always helps
Roger Montgomery
February 21, 2013
The cover of the latest AFR Smart Investor was a worrying sign for me this morning. Emblazoned with the words “Ready, Set, Rally” I was reminded of the cover of a similar magazine many years ago. The older magazine had the words “Takeoff” – or something similar – with a subtitle that read; “how to buy tech stocks without getting burnt”. That magazine was released in March 2000 – a month before the tech wreck began.
Trading the opposite direction to magazine covers has been a profitable pastime for many private and professional investors but should we conclude that this month’s magazine cover means a correction is in the offing?
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights.
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Monadelphous Group – Revenue growth to flatten from Fiscal 2014
David Buckland
February 19, 2013
The Monadelphous Group (MND) is one of Australia’s most successful project management, construction, asset management and maintenance service companies focused on the Resource, Energy and Infrastructure sectors. Revenue, over the five years to June 2013, is forecast to jump from under $1.0 billion to $2.6 billion.
Mona’s interim report, released on Tuesday 19 February, revealed a more sober outlook from Fiscal 2014.
by David Buckland Posted in Insightful Insights, Market Valuation.
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Cisco: Mobile data traffic to grow at 66% p.a. over the next five years
David Buckland
February 18, 2013
The Cisco White Paper, released recently, makes some extraordinary predictions over the next five years and and is well worth reading.
To summarise:
1. In 2012, global mobile traffic grew 70 per cent to 885 petabytes per month. By 2017, this will grow 13 times and surpass 11 exabytes per month, a compound annual growth rate of 66%;
by David Buckland Posted in Insightful Insights, Technology & Telecommunications, Value.able.
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Now Hear This!!
Roger Montgomery
February 16, 2013
Australia’s farmers agree. Coles and Woolies need to be reigned in. I was chatting with John Morrison on ABC Radio this week and my description of the ultimate result of government policy settings fired up the farming community. So grab a coffee, a cup of tea, a beer or a glass of pinot and settle in.
This is one issue that affects all Australians and their wallets.
This interview was broadcast 12 February 2012. Listen here.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Value.able.
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U.S. Health Care System
Ben MacNevin
February 15, 2013
This article provides interesting context for Resmed and the reimbursement bidding process (extract of key paragraphs below)
Jaime Rosenthal, a senior at Washington University in St. Louis, called more than 100 hospitals in every state last summer, seeking prices for a hip replacement for a 62-year-old grandmother who was uninsured but had the means to pay herself. The quotes she received might surprise even hardened health care economists: only about half of the hospitals, including top-ranked orthopedic centers and community hospitals, could provide any sort of price estimate, despite repeated calls. Those that could gave quotes that varied by a factor of more than 10, from $11,100 to $125,798.
by Ben MacNevin Posted in Health Care, Insightful Insights.
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Nothing happened but who should we believe?
Roger Montgomery
February 14, 2013
It seems even the facts are up for interpretation when reading reports of what happened overnight. Is the invention of news signs of indigestion?
As you know I have long suggested that the daily market wrap is a bit of an information free zone for long-term investors. Occasionally however it can be funnier than the comic strips. This morning the overnight reports that arrived in our inbox gave us reason to have a chuckle.
Perhaps nothing happened but no journalist could possibly write “nothing happened”…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Market Valuation, Value.able.
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The US – Capital’s share of output at an all time high
David Buckland
February 14, 2013
The US S&P 500 recorded a multi-year low in March 2009, at 667 points.
Today the Index is at 1517 points, delivering a capital gain of 127 per cent in less than four years, or a compound annual average return of 23 per cent.
A significant reason for this rally is based on the fact “labour’s share of output” has, in recent years, declined from 70% to 64%.
continue…by David Buckland Posted in Insightful Insights, Value.able.
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Too Much Bull?
Roger Montgomery
February 13, 2013
Last week several media outlets reported that Merrill Lynch had released a prediction that the market may correct. Without giving you the entire report – you need to become a client of Bank of America Merrill Lynch for that (To enquire about becoming a client contact: Bank of Amercia Merrill Lynch: Lvl38/ 1 Farrer Pl, Governor Phillip Tower, Sydney NSW 2000 (02) 9225 6500) – we thought you should be aware of the interesting work they are doing.
continue…by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Market Valuation, Value.able.
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MEDIA
Retail on the Rise (Again)
Roger Montgomery
February 12, 2013
In discussion with ABC1’s Ticky Fullerton Roger provides his insights into the outlook for Retail Stocks in the half-year reporting period.
This interview was broadcast 12 February 2013. Watch here.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Consumer discretionary, Insightful Insights, TV Appearances.
