Insightful Insights
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It’s good to be small
Tim Kelley
September 30, 2015
In the next few weeks a small New Zealand based insurer – CBL Corp Limited – lists on ASX and NZX. CBL is a slightly odd beast in the insurance world: it focuses on small but profitable specialist niches, where it is able to earn significant underwriting profits. In contrast, mainstream insurers tend to write as much business as they can, even if it means taking on business that earns little to no underwriting profit. They do this because in the period between receiving an insurance premium and having to pay out claims, they can earn investment returns on the premiums written. continue…
by Tim Kelley Posted in Insightful Insights, Insurance.
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Four Corners – Wasted
Ben MacNevin
September 30, 2015
This week’s Video Insight coincides with a comprehensive story by the ABC’s Four Corners on the opportunities for effective cost management in Australia’s Health Care System. continue…
by Ben MacNevin Posted in Health Care, Insightful Insights.
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The Great China Slowdown
David Buckland
September 29, 2015
China’s Industrial Profits declined by 8.8 per cent in August from a year earlier, with the biggest fall concentrated in coal, oil and metals according to the National Bureau of Statistics. For the eight months to August 2015, profits from coal, oil and metals companies declined by 65 per cent, 67 per cent and 52 per cent, respectively, on a year on year basis. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Energy / Resources, Insightful Insights.
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Stuck
Ben MacNevin
September 28, 2015
While the world tries to guess when the Federal Reserve will increase interest rates, we thought one of the more eloquent illustrations of the conundrum facing central banks is a recent speech by Andrew Haldane, the Chief Economist of the Bank of England. The speech is aptly entitled, Stuck. continue…
by Ben MacNevin Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights.
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Are Zero Interest Rates Working?
David Buckland
September 25, 2015
Writing in The Wall Street Journal, David Malpass said; “A year ago the International Monetary Fund projected world GDP at $82 trillion in 2015, but it will likely end up at only $72 trillion, a $10 trillion shrinkage. There’s lots of blame to go around, but the Fed’s seven-year zero-rate trap is a big part of the problem”. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Insightful Insights.
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A China led slowdown
David Buckland
September 25, 2015
In this interview with Julian Lorkin on 2GB Money News, David discusses volatility in European markets and the implications for the Australian economy. He mentions vulnerability in the resource sector, overproduction of steel in China and dumping on global markets.
Click here to listen to the radio clip.
You can listen to any of the Montgomery team’s radio interviews through browsing our media library, listen to more clips here.
by David Buckland Posted in Insightful Insights.
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A sector to watch
Russell Muldoon
September 24, 2015
Whilst many market observers appear to be obsessed about a falling and volatile market, let’s flip all that on its head and instead focus on something a little more productive and a little more positive. continue…
by Russell Muldoon Posted in Insightful Insights.
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Don’t jump at shadows
Roger Montgomery
September 23, 2015
As most readers will know, in July 2015 we launched the Montgomery Global Fund and The Montaka Global Fund. We were rather shocked when, just a month later in August, two or three investors withdrew their investment. When surveyed, the investors who withdrew their investments cited fears about an economic slowdown in China and its potential impact on markets globally. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Investing Education.
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Consumer broadband – brief market overview
Scott Shuttleworth
September 23, 2015
As many readers are aware, the Montgomery funds monitor the telecommunications industry on a consistent basis. With the development of the National Broadband Network over the next decade there appears to be an immense number of opportunities for valuation creation as the spend of each broadband consumer rises and the number of broadband users across Australia continues to grow. continue…
by Scott Shuttleworth Posted in Insightful Insights, Technology & Telecommunications.
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What’s the outlook for mortgage rates?
Stuart Jackson
September 23, 2015
As we have discussed a number of times in the past, the major banks face significant headwinds from increasing capital adequacy requirements over the next few years. This is due to a partial reversal of the significantly lower risk weightings that were applied to major bank mortgages, combined with the need to generally hold more equity capital to reduce the potential risks given their ‘too big to fail’ status in the Australian economy. continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Financial Services, Insightful Insights.