Global markets
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War. What is it good for? Well, surprisingly, equities
Roger Montgomery
February 24, 2022
Edwin Starr’s classic 1969 anti-war song, War, asks: “War: What is it good for?” and responds emphatically “absolutely nothing.” It’s hard to argue with the sentiment. But it turns out Starr was not completely correct. You see, despite the terrifying carnage and destruction, war can often be a fruitful time to invest. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
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The impact of inflation and interest rates on companies’ price to earnings ratios
Roger Montgomery
February 22, 2022
Currently-surging US inflation has triggered a dramatic move in interest rate expectations, which in turn have inspired equity investors to reassess the risk they are willing to adopt. In the space of seven months, US short-term interest rate expectations have moved materially. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
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Why this market downturn is a great time to invest
Roger Montgomery
February 3, 2022
After two years of largely uninterrupted asset price gains, January provided a rude awakening for many investors, as equity markets around the world took a tumble. And it wasn’t just profitless tech stocks that took a beating. Caught up in the carnage were some high quality businesses that saw their share prices crimped – and which now present compelling value. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets.
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The Polen Capital Focus Growth Fund celebrates its 33rd Anniversary
David Buckland
January 28, 2022
When Montgomery Investment Management announced its partnership with Polen Capital nearly twelve months ago, we were delighted to see their flagship fund had such an extraordinary long-term track record. And that fund – the Polen Capital Focus Growth Fund – has just celebrated its 33rd Anniversary. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Global markets, Polen Capital.
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Why I think 2022 will be a very good year for investors
Roger Montgomery
January 5, 2022
A year ago, I wrote an article in The Australian which set out the factors I thought would make it a very good year for equities. So far, the local market has behaved as expected – despite all the turmoil in the world – with the All Ordinaries up 13.6 per cent for the 12 months to 31 December 2021. Looking ahead, I think markets will continue to reward investors, particularly those who invest in quality businesses. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
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What is going on underneath Nasdaq?
Joseph Kim
December 13, 2021
After hitting a record high in mid-November, the tech-heavy Nasdaq index in the US has encountered some volatility, as the combination of Jerome Powell’s reappointment as head of the US Reserve, an increasingly hawkish Fed and Omicron concerns has led to some selling. continue…
by Joseph Kim Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets.
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How to Track the Omicron Variant in Gauteng
Roger Montgomery
November 29, 2021
Gauteng, is the region of South Africa with the largest hospitals near to where Omicron was first observed. Before we talk Omicron, note new research from Paris based thinktank Institut économique Molinari (IEM) reveals countries that protect against COVID-19 do better economically. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets.
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New Zealand cash rates – the canary in the coal mine?
David Buckland
November 29, 2021
My son, Angus, ventured into the Sydney residential market at the beginning of the year acquiring a small apartment, with what I considered to be an enormous loan from one of the Big Four. At the time the fixed four-year home loan rate was around 1.95 per cent per annum. Today, the advertised rate has jumped 1.0 per cent per annum to around 2.95 per cent. This reflects the Australian four-year Government Bond yield moving up from 0.20 per cent at the beginning of 2021 to the current 1.32 per cent. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Inflation fears will soon fade…
Roger Montgomery
November 19, 2021
Investors worry about inflation but forget to consider the income side of the equation. Will inflation fears this time next year be a distant memory? I currently believe investors should take advantage of any inflation scare that adversely impacts equity prices, as an opportunity. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
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US inflation has touched a thirty year high in October
Roger Montgomery
November 12, 2021
Just-reported US inflation has touched a thirty year high in October. US annual inflation is now at 6.2 per cent with price increases recorded for everything from fuel, new and used cars to rent and supermarket groceries. Investors in the US are now concerned with holidays around the corner, and with supply chains still disrupted, inflation could go even higher. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
