Global markets
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What’s in a global equity benchmark?
Scott Phillips
September 1, 2021
The MSCI (Morgan Stanley Capital International) organisation is arguably the best know provider of global equity indexes and provide an excellent insight into the investable equity markets around the world. The MSCI indexes are market cap-weighted indexes, which means stocks are weighted according to their market capitalisation—calculated as stock price multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding. continue…
by Scott Phillips Posted in Global markets, Polen Capital.
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Why unfettered capitalism is failing us
Roger Montgomery
August 31, 2021
One of the seemingly inevitable consequences of capitalism is the increasing concentration of market power in the hands of fewer and fewer large corporations. This issue was raised in a recent speech by ACCC Chair, Rod Sims, who noted the many ways in which increasing market power is adversely impacting Australian society. In his speech, Mr Sims also stated what I have long been advocating: governments need to do something about it. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Regulatory crackdown on the education sector and China related stocks
Roger Montgomery
August 10, 2021
As you know I am a big fan of the team at Polen having invested at the Australian inception of the Polen Capital Global Growth Fund. When the Chinese government articulated its love-hate relationship with the computer gaming industry and announced a crackdown on kids gaming it came as some relief to hear the Polen Capital team had made portfolio changes. Polen’s update follows, and it provides a valuable insight into the team’s processes and philosophy. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Global markets.
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What can we expect from inflation?
Roger Montgomery
August 9, 2021
It has been noted by some economic observers that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has, in 2021, been consistent in one aspect of his predictions about inflation; that he’s consistently wrong. The message, as we’ve discussed here at the blog throughout the year, is that inflation is transitory. Base effects will ensure inflation turns to disinflation with the passage of another year, and capitalism’s supply response will solve the bottlenecks in global commodity supply chains. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
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Why Chinese investors are shying away from Australia
Andreas Lundberg
July 20, 2021
In Australia, mergers and acquisitions (M&A) are on the rise. But largely absent from this activity are Chinese businesses who, until recently, have invested heavily in our economy. Looking at the reasons behind this reduced investment, I think this trend could continue for some time to come. continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Why we need to reduce our reliance on China
Andreas Lundberg
June 18, 2021
Just a few days ago, WA Premier, Mark McGowan called on the Federal Government to back down from any rhetoric that could be offensive to China. His concern, of course, is around his state’s mineral exports. But given China’s bullying tactics, surely a better response would be for our exporters to broaden their export markets. continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Global markets.
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Is it time to tilt to high quality tech names?
Roger Montgomery
June 1, 2021
Over the past year or so, we’ve seen spikes in the valuations of fast growth, momentum stocks. But if inflation rears its head, that could change in a heartbeat. Which is why the next big rotation could see these over-valued – often profitless – firms dumped in favour of long-duration quality tech businesses. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Global markets, Stocks We Like.
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Why today’s inflation fears provide a great share-buying opportunity
Roger Montgomery
May 19, 2021
Right now, inflation is the new bogey man. And it’s having an impact on equity markets. But is rising inflation just a blip caused by short-term bottlenecks in the supply of labour, or a long-term structural issue? If it’s just a blip – which I think it is – then any weakness in the share prices of high quality companies will provide us with a classic contrarian opportunity. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Have we reached peak economy?
Roger Montgomery
May 11, 2021
As world economies start to bounce back after their COVID-19 lockdowns, inflation is back on the agenda. Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome Powell, thinks the current spike is transitory. Time will tell if he’s right. But whether it’s transitory or persistent, inflation will impact stock market returns. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
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Could Biden’s latest pronouncement spell the end of the Bull Market?
Roger Montgomery
April 24, 2021
Tax is a very powerful driver of behaviour. For local evidence we only need to look at Australian property prices. While long-term, immigration drives property prices, and in the shorter-term access to credit, these influences occur under the umbrella of very favourable tax conditions combined with the willingness of banks, regulators and the government to allow buyers to use massive amounts of leverage to purchase their main residence. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets.
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