Global markets
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Is it time to tilt to high quality tech names?
Roger Montgomery
June 1, 2021
Over the past year or so, we’ve seen spikes in the valuations of fast growth, momentum stocks. But if inflation rears its head, that could change in a heartbeat. Which is why the next big rotation could see these over-valued – often profitless – firms dumped in favour of long-duration quality tech businesses. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Global markets, Stocks We Like.
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Why today’s inflation fears provide a great share-buying opportunity
Roger Montgomery
May 19, 2021
Right now, inflation is the new bogey man. And it’s having an impact on equity markets. But is rising inflation just a blip caused by short-term bottlenecks in the supply of labour, or a long-term structural issue? If it’s just a blip – which I think it is – then any weakness in the share prices of high quality companies will provide us with a classic contrarian opportunity. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Have we reached peak economy?
Roger Montgomery
May 11, 2021
As world economies start to bounce back after their COVID-19 lockdowns, inflation is back on the agenda. Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome Powell, thinks the current spike is transitory. Time will tell if he’s right. But whether it’s transitory or persistent, inflation will impact stock market returns. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
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Could Biden’s latest pronouncement spell the end of the Bull Market?
Roger Montgomery
April 24, 2021
Tax is a very powerful driver of behaviour. For local evidence we only need to look at Australian property prices. While long-term, immigration drives property prices, and in the shorter-term access to credit, these influences occur under the umbrella of very favourable tax conditions combined with the willingness of banks, regulators and the government to allow buyers to use massive amounts of leverage to purchase their main residence. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets.
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Which sectors could suffer if we cut our reliance on China?
Andreas Lundberg
April 1, 2021
China is Australia’s largest trading partner, taking almost one-third of our exports. But, after repeated economic actions – such as the imposition of high tariffs and import restrictions on some of our goods – it’s clear we need to reduce our dependence on China. In the short to medium term, that could be painful for some sectors of our economy. continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets.
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What CCP’s results say about the health of the economy
Andreas Lundberg
February 4, 2021
Credit Corp (ASX: CCP), which is a buyer of debt, is a company we follow quite closely. Apart from being a potential investment, CCP’s fortunes provide a keen insight into the level of financial stress in the real economy. So, the company’s recent results were a good indicator of where we are at. continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Companies, Global markets, Market commentary.
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The winners and losers of 2020
Scott Phillips
January 13, 2021
A lot will be written about events in calendar year 2020 and the impact COVID-19 had on many facets of our lives, not to mention the huge volatility in financial markets. Interestingly, when we look in isolation at the calendar year returns of the S&P/ASX 300 Accumulation Index (which includes the returns from dividends), the market was up a tiny 1.4 per cent. continue…
by Scott Phillips Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
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Don’t poke the China bear
David Buckland
December 16, 2020
The Reserve Bank of Australia is taking us down the Japanese and European path, obsessed with record low interest rates whilst spending little time on productivity growth. Following “emergency low interest rates” of 3.0 per cent during the Global Financial Crisis, the current 0.1 per cent cash rate is causing havoc amongst the retired generation, which number 4 million people or 15 per cent of our population. This generation unfortunately face Hobsons choice of going up the risk curve, often speculating on risk assets, or eating into their capital. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Global markets.
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How Pfizer’s vaccine will affect stocks in your portfolio
Roger Montgomery
November 12, 2020
Wow, what a week! Pfizer announces it has a vaccine almost set to go, and hasn’t the market reacted! Happily for our investors, The Montgomery Fund has already pivoted towards a post-pandemic world: we’ve cut cash to a record low and invested in some businesses beaten down by enforced lockdowns. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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What the US election result means for investors
Roger Montgomery
November 10, 2020
When Joe Biden emerged as the 46th US president, democratic nations including Germany, Japan and the UK are reported to have breathed a collective sigh of relief. Political leanings aside, what does Biden’s win mean for investors, and how might it affect a rotation out of growth and into value or cyclical stocks? continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets.
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