Global markets
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Where to invest if inflation takes hold
Roger Montgomery
November 5, 2021
Will inflation be transitory or more long lasting? Right now, the jury is out, and only time will tell. But the signs do not look good due to surging energy prices, supply bottlenecks and worker shortages. My advice is to focus on high quality companies with real pricing power. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Timely reminder of investing insights from Howard Marks – Oaktree
Scott Phillips
October 19, 2021
I was fortunate to recently hear from the legendary investor Howard Marks, one of the co-founders of Oaktree Capital* who gave the opening keynote address at the annual CFA Societies Australia Conference. Listening to his presentation was informative as always and I thought I’d share with everyone some of his key takeaways relating to today’s investing environment and ultimately successful investing. His presentation was titled” “Value Investing: A New Look.” continue…
by Scott Phillips Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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How Macquarie’s Ric Deverell sees key macro trends playing out
Roger Montgomery
September 27, 2021
Ric Deverell is the highly respected Chief Economist and Global Head of Macro Strategy at Macquarie Group. So when he talks, it pays to listen. Last week, he presented his observations on macro issues like global economics and inflation, the pandemic, the Australian economy, China and the bond market. Here are the key take-outs from his presentation. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
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Ever (Not) Grande
Roger Montgomery
September 23, 2021
Investors will have seen the US market falls on Monday (Monday night for Aussie investors) in reaction to the spiralling debt default story that is China’s largest property developer Evergrande. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets.
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What’s in a global equity benchmark?
Scott Phillips
September 1, 2021
The MSCI (Morgan Stanley Capital International) organisation is arguably the best know provider of global equity indexes and provide an excellent insight into the investable equity markets around the world. The MSCI indexes are market cap-weighted indexes, which means stocks are weighted according to their market capitalisation—calculated as stock price multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding. continue…
by Scott Phillips Posted in Global markets, Polen Capital.
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Why unfettered capitalism is failing us
Roger Montgomery
August 31, 2021
One of the seemingly inevitable consequences of capitalism is the increasing concentration of market power in the hands of fewer and fewer large corporations. This issue was raised in a recent speech by ACCC Chair, Rod Sims, who noted the many ways in which increasing market power is adversely impacting Australian society. In his speech, Mr Sims also stated what I have long been advocating: governments need to do something about it. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Regulatory crackdown on the education sector and China related stocks
Roger Montgomery
August 10, 2021
As you know I am a big fan of the team at Polen having invested at the Australian inception of the Polen Capital Global Growth Fund. When the Chinese government articulated its love-hate relationship with the computer gaming industry and announced a crackdown on kids gaming it came as some relief to hear the Polen Capital team had made portfolio changes. Polen’s update follows, and it provides a valuable insight into the team’s processes and philosophy. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Global markets.
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What can we expect from inflation?
Roger Montgomery
August 9, 2021
It has been noted by some economic observers that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has, in 2021, been consistent in one aspect of his predictions about inflation; that he’s consistently wrong. The message, as we’ve discussed here at the blog throughout the year, is that inflation is transitory. Base effects will ensure inflation turns to disinflation with the passage of another year, and capitalism’s supply response will solve the bottlenecks in global commodity supply chains. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
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Why Chinese investors are shying away from Australia
Andreas Lundberg
July 20, 2021
In Australia, mergers and acquisitions (M&A) are on the rise. But largely absent from this activity are Chinese businesses who, until recently, have invested heavily in our economy. Looking at the reasons behind this reduced investment, I think this trend could continue for some time to come. continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Why we need to reduce our reliance on China
Andreas Lundberg
June 18, 2021
Just a few days ago, WA Premier, Mark McGowan called on the Federal Government to back down from any rhetoric that could be offensive to China. His concern, of course, is around his state’s mineral exports. But given China’s bullying tactics, surely a better response would be for our exporters to broaden their export markets. continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Global markets.
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