Energy / Resources

Most of the time, prices for a security or a commodity trade in fairly narrow bands. Sure, prices trend because information isn’t distributed universally, and it takes time and confirmation for people to buy in or sell out, but on a daily (or even weekly) basis, price ranges and volumes are generally pretty narrow. 

A few times every decade, however, you will experience or witness some truly epic moves over very short periods of time. When you see these, it may be helpful to be positioned with cash and access to research. I am not sure if the latest ‘epic’ move turns out to be one of those opportunities, but I do believe it is worthy of further attention. And like I said, they only happen a few times in a decade. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Energy / Resources, Manufacturing.

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The Whyalla Steelworks was established in 1941 and employs 1,100 people. The Mount Isa copper smelter was established in 1953 and employs 550 people, and the Townsville refinery was established in 1959 and employs 500 people. Without enormous government subsidisation, all three businesses look like they will follow the Exxon Mobile refinery, Oceana Glass and plastics makers, Qenos and Trident, into oblivion. continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Energy / Resources, Manufacturing, Market commentary, Property.

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Metallurgical or coking coal, a major input in steelmaking, has seen its price decline from US$670/tonne to the current US$183/tonne over the past three years. A global oversupply of steel, low steel prices and uncertainty regarding global trade has led to muted demand. continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Energy / Resources, Manufacturing, Market commentary.

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Australia is the world’s second-largest exporter of liquefied natural gas (LNG), with an output of 81 million tonnes (MT) in 2024, surpassed only by the U.S., according to the International Gas Union 2025 World LNG Report. In a year when global LNG trade expanded by 2.4 per cent to 411.24 MT, Australia contributed a 1.48 MT increase, connecting 22 exporting markets with 48 importing ones. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Energy / Resources.

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Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) (formerly Woodside Petroleum Ltd) is Australia’s largest independent dedicated oil and gas exploration and production company. With its share price down 46 per cent since September 2023, it might pay investors to understand the transformation occurring at the company and the reason it is now a three per cent position in The Montgomery Fund and a 2.3 per cent position in The Montgomery [Private] Fund. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Energy / Resources, Stocks We Like.

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Australia’s aggressive pursuit of renewable energy, championed by the Teal independents and the Labor government, is sold as a path to cheaper electricity and a cleaner future. The promise is seductive: wind and solar will slash power bills while saving the planet.

Yet, recent events in Europe – most notably Spain’s massive blackout and Germany’s ongoing grid struggles – expose this narrative as dangerously naive. Forcing intermittent renewable energy onto aging grids without adequate investment in stability measures is a recipe for chaos, and this weekend, I suspect, Australia will vote to barrel down the same path. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Energy / Resources, Market commentary.

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As world oil’s upstream and downstream industries stand at a crossroads, investors globally face the challenge of deciphering innumerable geopolitical and economic signals. These signals will also directly impact inflation rates with implications for central bank interest rate policy. For investors, the outlook for oil holds more than the usual amount of sway. From potential upheavals in the Middle East to colossal mergers in the U.S., here’s a shallow dive into the factors influencing the future of oil. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Energy / Resources, Global markets, Market commentary.

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While investors in electric vehicle (EV) themed companies debate long-term forecasts for the price of lithium and the pace of EV adoption, the downstream impacts of that adoption may produce more interesting investment conclusions. It’s a side to the EV story that remains largely ignored by the mainstream investment narrative. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Energy / Resources, Market commentary.

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Australian small companies can provide investors with opportunities to tap into global themes that we believe will drive investment returns in the future. One of these is what is the most effective solution for achieving decarbonisation in electricity production. continue…

by Michael Gollagher Posted in Energy / Resources, Market commentary, Stocks We Like.

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Around 75 per cent of the World’s lithium reserves, according to the U.S. Geological Survey, can be found in Latin America (58 per cent in Chile, Bolivia and Argentina) and Australia (17 per cent). Meanwhile, China currently has 80 per cent of the global refining capacity. While not as concentrated, Chile (21 per cent), Australia (11 per cent) and Peru (9 per cent) hold a large share of the global copper reserves at a combined 40 per cent. continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Energy / Resources.

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